PRIME DISTRESS INDEX

U.S. Mortgage Distress Index

Where GSE mortgage stress is building — quarterly, state-by-state.

Quarterly · 2025Q4

National summary

National Distress
13.9
Average across 51 states
States severe
0
of 51
States elevated
1
of 51
States moderate
4
of 51
Most distressed
Louisiana
30.0 composite

Average worsened 100 bps quarter over quarter.

Distress by state

Distress score< 18 low distress18–30 moderate distress30–45 elevated distress45+ severe distress
Hover or tap a state to see its score.

Top 10 most distressed states

2025Q4 ranking
  1. #1Louisiana30.0elevated distress
  2. #2West Virginia29.1moderate distress
  3. #3District of Columbia28.8moderate distress
  4. #4Mississippi25.6moderate distress
  5. #5Alabama18.4moderate distress
  6. #6Maryland17.5low distress
  7. #7Texas17.5low distress
  8. #8Illinois17.5low distress
  9. #9Oklahoma17.3low distress
  10. #10Alaska17.1low distress

All 51 states ranked

Sort by any column. Scores are composites out of 100 — higher means more GSE-loan stress.

Rank State Distress score BandQoQ (bps)
#1Louisiana30.0elevated distress-42 bps
#2West Virginia29.1moderate distress+183 bps
#3District of Columbia28.8moderate distress+766 bps
#4Mississippi25.6moderate distress+150 bps
#5Alabama18.4moderate distress+135 bps
#6Maryland17.5low distress+471 bps
#7Texas17.5low distress+224 bps
#8Illinois17.5low distress-2 bps
#9Oklahoma17.3low distress+110 bps
#10Alaska17.1low distress+106 bps
#11New Mexico16.9low distress+51 bps
#12Florida16.9low distress+138 bps
#13New York16.8low distress+23 bps
#14Arkansas16.5low distress+55 bps
#15Hawaii16.3low distress+210 bps
#16Minnesota16.3low distress+137 bps
#17Maine15.6low distress+156 bps
#18Michigan15.1low distress+92 bps
#19Iowa15.0low distress+89 bps
#20Vermont14.8low distress-294 bps
#21Wyoming14.8low distress-88 bps
#22North Dakota14.7low distress-44 bps
#23Kansas14.6low distress+93 bps
#24Georgia14.0low distress+215 bps
#25Ohio13.4low distress+11 bps
#26Pennsylvania13.2low distress+33 bps
#27Nevada12.7low distress+111 bps
#28Kentucky12.3low distress-29 bps
#29Missouri12.3low distress+111 bps
#30Indiana11.9low distress+17 bps
#31Oregon11.2low distress+75 bps
#32Connecticut11.1low distress-17 bps
#33South Dakota10.8low distress+175 bps
#34South Carolina10.4low distress+71 bps
#35Arizona10.2low distress+146 bps
#36Colorado10.1low distress+116 bps
#37New Jersey10.0low distress+3 bps
#38North Carolina9.9low distress+82 bps
#39Nebraska9.8low distress+56 bps
#40Virginia9.6low distress+193 bps
#41Delaware9.6low distress+78 bps
#42California9.5low distress+108 bps
#43Tennessee9.5low distress+125 bps
#44Washington9.1low distress+161 bps
#45Rhode Island8.2low distress+23 bps
#46Massachusetts8.2low distress+57 bps
#47Idaho8.1low distress+106 bps
#48Utah8.0low distress+149 bps
#49Montana7.9low distress+53 bps
#50Wisconsin7.3low distress+27 bps
#51New Hampshire6.4low distress+125 bps

How this index is built

Composite index built from federal GSE loan data covering Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac single-family loans. Weighted 40% serious delinquency, 20% entrenched stress, 20% forbearance share, 20% REO inventory. Useful for spotting markets where distressed inventory is building before price effects show up.

Source
FHFA Foreclosure Prevention and Refinance Report · 2025Q4
Published
2026-02-13
Refresh cadence
Quarterly, ~6–8 weeks after quarter close
Coverage
51 states + DC. Puerto Rico and territories excluded (no FPRR coverage).