- 01US cap rates are compressing toward 4-5% in hot metros — Portugal and Greece still offer 5-8%
- 02Currency risk works both ways: a weak euro means cheaper entry, but rental income converts to fewer dollars
- 03The five headaches: currency risk, legal systems, property management, tax treaties, and capital controls
- 041031 exchanges do NOT work internationally — all gains are taxed on repatriation
Show Notes
A $280,000 apartment in Lisbon. Cap-rate: 5.2%. Same cash-flow profile as a $420,000 duplex in Austin — except the Austin duplex would run you 4.1%. That's a full point of yield. For the first time in my investing career, I'm seriously asking: what if the best deal isn't in the US?
I've spent 15 years building a portfolio stateside. But cap-rates in hot American metros have compressed to 4% and 5%. Portugal, Greece, Spain — they're still sitting at 5% to 8%. The math is hard to ignore. So I'm opening the international playbook. And I'm nervous.
I'm Martin Maxwell, and today on 5-Minute PRIME we're kicking off a series on buying property overseas — starting with the five things that scare me most.
Timestamps
- 0:00 — Why I'm looking overseas for the first time
- 1:15 — The cap rate compression problem in the US
- 2:30 — The five headaches of international investing
- 4:00 — Currency risk as a double-edged sword
- 5:15 — Coming up: the Europe series
The Cap Rate Compression Problem in the US
Phoenix. Austin. Nashville. Cap-rates in these markets have dropped from 6% and 7% a decade ago to 4.5% today. You're paying more for the same NOI. Your cash-on-cash-return gets squeezed. Your LTV assumptions have to be tighter. The margin for error shrinks.
Meanwhile, Lisbon trades at 5.5% to 6%. Athens, 6% to 7%. Even Barcelona — a Tier 1 European city — can still pencil at 5%. The yield gap is real. A 1.5-point spread on a $297,000 property is $4,455 a year in NOI. Over 10 years, that's $44,550. Before appreciation. Before currency moves.
So why isn't everyone doing it? Because the headaches are real. And they'll cost you.
The Five Headaches of International Investing
One: Currency risk. The euro moves. The dollar moves. You buy in euros, you earn rent in euros, you sell in euros. When you bring it home, you convert. A 10% drop in the euro wipes out a year of cash-flow. Or a 10% rise adds a bonus. It works both ways. You're not just betting on the property. You're betting on the exchange rate.
Two: Legal systems. Property law in Portugal isn't property law in Texas. Inheritance rules, tenant protections, foreclosure timelines — they're all different. You need a local attorney. You need to understand what you're signing. "We do it differently here" isn't a comfort. It's a warning.
Three: Property management. Who's collecting rent when you're 5,000 miles away? Who's handling the leak at 2 a.m.? You need boots on the ground. A property manager who speaks the language, knows the market, and won't disappear with your deposit. Finding that person is harder than finding a good deal.
Four: Tax treaties. The US taxes worldwide income. Portugal has its own rules. Greece has its own. Treaties prevent double taxation — but you've got to know them. Miss a filing and you're paying twice. Or worse, triggering an audit.
Five: Capital controls. Some countries restrict how much money you can move in or out. Greece had capital controls during the debt crisis. It can happen again. Your equity might be trapped. Your cash-flow might be stuck. That's not a theoretical risk. It's history.
Currency Risk as a Double-Edged Sword
Let's dig into currency because it's the one that trips people up the most.
A weak euro means your dollars go further. You buy a €250,000 apartment when the euro is at 1.05 to the dollar. That's $262,500. Six months later, the euro drops to 1.15. Your apartment is still worth €250,000 — but in dollars, that's $217,400. You've "lost" $45,000 on paper without the property moving an inch.
Flip it. The euro strengthens. Your €2,000 monthly rent was $2,100 when you bought. Now it's $2,300. Same property. Same tenant. More dollars. Currency can be a tailwind or a headwind. You've got to know you're exposed — and size your position so you can stomach the swings.
The 1031 Trap
Here's the kicker: 1031 exchanges do NOT work internationally. The IRS allows tax-deferred exchanges only for like-kind property in the United States. Sell a rental in Phoenix, buy one in Lisbon — you're paying capital gains tax on the full gain. No deferral. No 1031 magic.
When you eventually sell the overseas property and bring the money home, you're taxed on repatriation. The gains are real. The IRS wants its cut. Plan for it. Structure for it. Don't assume the same rules apply. They don't.
Coming Up: The Europe Series
Over the next few episodes we'll go country by country. Portugal. Spain. Greece. The Golden Visa angle. The yield play. The lifestyle play. I'm not selling you on international investing. I'm showing you the math, the headaches, and the questions you need to ask before you wire a single dollar.
Is it worth it? For some investors, yes. For others, the headaches outweigh the yield. We'll figure out which camp you're in.
Next up: Portugal — 5% yields, Golden Visa, and the catch. Episode 64.
Tenant screening is how you evaluate rental applicants—credit, criminal history, income, and rental references—before you hand over the keys.
Read definition →A property manager handles tenant relations, maintenance, rent collection, and day-to-day ops for your rentals. So you don't have to.
Read definition →Rent Collection is a property management concept that describes a specific aspect of how real estate transactions, analysis, or operations work in the context of property management deals.
Read definition →Mortgage Broker is a real estate lending concept that describes a specific aspect of how real estate transactions, analysis, or operations work in the context of building your team deals.
Read definition →Leverage is using borrowed money to control a larger asset than you could afford with cash alone—and it amplifies both returns and risk.
Read definition →



