
Casper, WY
The numbers that matter most
What an investor checks first when sizing up a new metro — affordability ratio, rent vs income, cap rate proxy, and where the market is moving. Each metric shown vs. state and national medians for instant context.
moderate
Price to income
3.65×
The single most-cited 'is this market still cheap' check. Below 3× and you're in an affordability tailwind.
- vs Wyoming
- 3.91×-0.26
- vs U.S.
- 3.43×
Benchmark
ACS median home value ÷ median HHI
comfortable
Rent to income
18.2%
What share of a typical household's income goes to rent. Below 30% means tenants can absorb modest rent increases.
- vs Wyoming
- 18.2%
- vs U.S.
- 23.3%-5.1
Benchmark
(HUD FMR 2BR × 12) ÷ median HHI
tight
Cap rate proxy
3.24%
Rough first-pass yield assuming a 35% expense ratio. Not an underwriting number — a 'is this even worth modeling' filter.
- vs Wyoming
- 3.03%+0.21
- vs U.S.
- 4.35%
Benchmark
(FMR 2BR × 12 × 0.65) ÷ ACS median home value
steady
Net migration
+0.16%
Forward-looking demand signal. Positive net migration drives rent growth and absorbs new supply.
- vs Wyoming
- 0.19%
- vs U.S.
- 0.03%+0.13
Benchmark
IRS net migration ÷ population
normal
Permit pipeline
2.63
permits per 1,000 residents
Forward-supply indicator. Above ~5 means the metro is building meaningfully relative to its size; below 2 means supply is tight.
- vs Wyoming
- 3.72
- vs U.S.
- 3.52
Benchmark
Census BPS permits TTM ÷ population × 1,000
healthy
Unemployment
3.7%
Tighter unemployment means higher wages, more rental demand, lower vacancy.
- vs Wyoming
- 3.8%-0.0
- vs U.S.
- 3.9%-0.2
Benchmark
BLS LAUS, latest month
Where prices are and where they've been
5-year price appreciation
+39.0%
homeValues.yearOverYear
+3.6%
Median home value
$260,400
The rent ladder
| Bedroom | Monthly | Annual | % of median HHI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 BR | $852 | $10,224 | 14.4% |
| 2 BR | $1,082 | $12,984 | 18.2% |
| 3 BR | $1,505 | $18,060 | 25.3% |
Labor market direction
Unemployment
3.7%
Median household income
$71,247
What's being built
Total TTM
209
Single-family
203
2–4 unit
6
5+ unit
0
All 1 counties, ranked by population
| County | Population | Home value | Median HHI | Permits TTM | YoY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Natrona County | 79,506 | $260,400 | $71,247 | 209 |
Similar metros nationally
| Metro | Pop | Med HHI | P/I | Cap proxy | HPI 5y | Permits/1k | Unemp |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★Casper | 79,506 | $71,247 | 3.65× | 3.24% | +39.0% | 2.63 | 3.7% |
| Grand Island, NE | 76,726 | $67,397 | — | — | +55.9% | — | 3.2% |
| Great Falls, MT | 84,423 | $66,203 | — | — | +63.6% | — | 3.7% |
| Midland, MI | 83,503 | $77,538 | — | — | +59.3% | — | 4.6% |
| Columbus, IN | 82,371 | $80,365 | — | — | +49.3% | — | 2.6% |
| Elmira, NY | 83,584 | $63,469 | — | — | +41.1% | — | 3.7% |
Where people are moving in from
Net migration
+129
+0.16% of population
| Origin county | Tax returns |
|---|---|
| Converse County, WY | 107 |
| Fremont County, WY | 64 |
| Laramie County, WY | 60 |
| Albany County, WY | 54 |
| Campbell County, WY | 49 |
| Weld County, CO | 41 |
Who lives in Casper
- Median age
- 38
- Bachelor's+
- 27.4%
- Owner-occupancy
- 73.6%
- Vacancy rate
- 10.3%
- Rent burdened (30%+)
- 41.5%
- Median household income
- $71,247
This page shows federally sourced data. A full editorial analysis with charts and investment commentary is in progress.
