
Wichita Falls, TX
The numbers that matter most
What an investor checks first when sizing up a new metro — affordability ratio, rent vs income, cap rate proxy, and where the market is moving. Each metric shown vs. state and national medians for instant context.
affordable
Price to income
2.27×
The single most-cited 'is this market still cheap' check. Below 3× and you're in an affordability tailwind.
- vs Texas
- 2.95×-0.68
- vs U.S.
- 3.43×-1.16
Benchmark
ACS median home value ÷ median HHI
comfortable
Rent to income
21.4%
What share of a typical household's income goes to rent. Below 30% means tenants can absorb modest rent increases.
- vs Texas
- 23.2%-1.8
- vs U.S.
- 23.3%-1.9
Benchmark
(HUD FMR 2BR × 12) ÷ median HHI
solid
Cap rate proxy
6.12%
Rough first-pass yield assuming a 35% expense ratio. Not an underwriting number — a 'is this even worth modeling' filter.
- vs Texas
- 5.06%+1.06
- vs U.S.
- 4.35%+1.78
Benchmark
(FMR 2BR × 12 × 0.65) ÷ ACS median home value
shrinking
Net migration
-0.04%
Forward-looking demand signal. Positive net migration drives rent growth and absorbs new supply.
- vs Texas
- -0.00%
- vs U.S.
- 0.03%
Benchmark
IRS net migration ÷ population
tight
Permit pipeline
1.39
permits per 1,000 residents
Forward-supply indicator. Above ~5 means the metro is building meaningfully relative to its size; below 2 means supply is tight.
- vs Texas
- 5.01
- vs U.S.
- 3.52
Benchmark
Census BPS permits TTM ÷ population × 1,000
healthy
Unemployment
3.5%
Tighter unemployment means higher wages, more rental demand, lower vacancy.
- vs Texas
- 3.7%-0.2
- vs U.S.
- 3.9%-0.4
Benchmark
BLS LAUS, latest month
Where prices are and where they've been
5-year price appreciation
+49.3%
homeValues.yearOverYear
+2.3%
Median home value
$144,700
The rent ladder
| Bedroom | Monthly | Annual | % of median HHI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 BR | $925 | $11,100 | 17.4% |
| 2 BR | $1,136 | $13,632 | 21.4% |
| 3 BR | $1,553 | $18,636 | 29.3% |
Labor market direction
Unemployment
3.5%
Median household income
$63,618
What's being built
Total TTM
206
Single-family
178
2–4 unit
23
5+ unit
5
All 3 counties, ranked by population
| County | Population | Home value | Median HHI | Permits TTM | YoY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wichita County | 129,584 | $141,600 | $62,168 | 178 | |
| Clay County | 10,290 | $161,300 | $77,355 | 10 | 0.0% |
| Archer County | 8,649 | $175,300 | $71,958 | 18 | 0.0% |
Similar metros nationally
| Metro | Pop | Med HHI | P/I | Cap proxy | HPI 5y | Permits/1k | Unemp |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★Wichita Falls | 148,523 | $63,618 | 2.27× | 6.12% | +49.3% | 1.39 | 3.5% |
| Bangor, ME | 152,640 | $63,248 | — | — | +66.7% | — | 3.4% |
| Vineland-Bridgeton, NJ | 153,588 | $64,499 | — | — | +70.4% | — | 7.4% |
| Niles, MI | 153,938 | $63,152 | — | — | +57.4% | — | 4.8% |
| Dalton, GA | 143,096 | $65,715 | — | — | +64.7% | — | 3.5% |
| Decatur, AL | 156,218 | $63,987 | — | — | +53.2% | — | 1.9% |
Where people are moving in from
Net migration
-64
-0.04% of population
| Origin county | Tax returns |
|---|---|
| Wichita County, TX | 325 |
| Tarrant County, TX | 191 |
| Clay County, TX | 147 |
| Dallas County, TX | 137 |
| Archer County, TX | 108 |
| Denton County, TX | 90 |
Who lives in Wichita Falls
- Median age
- 36
- Bachelor's+
- 24.8%
- Owner-occupancy
- 64.3%
- Vacancy rate
- 12.6%
- Rent burdened (30%+)
- 39.0%
- Median household income
- $63,618
This page shows federally sourced data. A full editorial analysis with charts and investment commentary is in progress.
