
San Germán, PR
The numbers that matter most
What an investor checks first when sizing up a new metro — affordability ratio, rent vs income, cap rate proxy, and where the market is moving. Each metric shown vs. state and national medians for instant context.
expensive
Price to income
6.38×
The single most-cited 'is this market still cheap' check. Below 3× and you're in an affordability tailwind.
- vs Puerto Rico
- 4.99×
- vs U.S.
- 3.43×
Benchmark
ACS median home value ÷ median HHI
burdened
Rent to income
41.5%
What share of a typical household's income goes to rent. Below 30% means tenants can absorb modest rent increases.
- vs Puerto Rico
- 31.3%
- vs U.S.
- 23.3%
Benchmark
(HUD FMR 2BR × 12) ÷ median HHI
deal-by-deal
Cap rate proxy
4.23%
Rough first-pass yield assuming a 35% expense ratio. Not an underwriting number — a 'is this even worth modeling' filter.
- vs Puerto Rico
- 3.78%+0.44
- vs U.S.
- 4.35%
Benchmark
(FMR 2BR × 12 × 0.65) ÷ ACS median home value
shrinking
Net migration
0.00%
Forward-looking demand signal. Positive net migration drives rent growth and absorbs new supply.
- vs Puerto Rico
- 0.00%=
- vs U.S.
- 0.03%
Benchmark
IRS net migration ÷ population
Permit pipeline
—
permits per 1,000 residents
Forward-supply indicator. Above ~5 means the metro is building meaningfully relative to its size; below 2 means supply is tight.
- vs U.S.
- 3.53
Benchmark
Census BPS permits TTM ÷ population × 1,000
Unemployment
—
Tighter unemployment means higher wages, more rental demand, lower vacancy.
- vs Puerto Rico
- 7.8%
- vs U.S.
- 4.5%
Benchmark
BLS LAUS, latest month
balanced buyer mix
Investor loan share
8.3%
36 purchase loans · 21.4% denial rate · 2024
Share of financed home purchases going to investors. Above ~15% means landlords are outbidding owner-occupants; below ~8% is owner-dominated.
Benchmark
Investor purchase loans ÷ all purchase loans (CFPB HMDA LAR, annual)
Where prices are and where they've been
5-year price appreciation
+42.2%
homeValues.yearOverYear
+8.9%
Median home value
$99,500
The rent ladder
| Bedroom | Monthly | Annual | % of median HHI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 BR | — | — | — |
| 2 BR | $539 | $6,468 | 41.5% |
| 3 BR | — | — | — |
Labor market direction
Unemployment
—
Median household income
$15,584
What's being built
Total TTM
—
Single-family
—
2–4 unit
—
5+ unit
—
All 1 counties, ranked by population
| County | Population | Home value | Median HHI | Permits TTM | YoY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lajas Municipio | 23,202 | $102,400 | $18,920 | — | — |
Similar metros nationally
| Metro | Pop | Med HHI | P/I | Cap proxy | HPI 5y | Permits/1k | Unemp |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★San Germán | 124,504 | $15,584 | 6.38× | 4.23% | +42.2% | — | —% |
| Mayagüez, PR | 97,118 | $20,400 | — | — | +42.2% | — | 8.6% |
| Arecibo, PR | 181,820 | $24,436 | — | — | +42.2% | — | 6.2% |
| Ponce, PR | 222,831 | $20,646 | — | — | +42.2% | — | 8.4% |
| Guayama, PR | 68,089 | $20,430 | — | — | +42.2% | — | 9.5% |
| Aguadilla-Isabela, PR | 308,919 | $20,800 | — | — | +42.2% | — | 7.3% |
Who lives in San Germán
- Median age
- 43
- Bachelor's+
- 22.2%
- Owner-occupancy
- 65.9%
- Vacancy rate
- 37.3%
- Rent burdened (30%+)
- 21.4%
- Median household income
- $15,584
This page shows federally sourced data. A full editorial analysis with charts and investment commentary is in progress.
Data sources
| Metric | Source | Vintage |
|---|---|---|
| rent vs buy | HUD FMR + Census ACS + FRED MORTGAGE30US | current FY |