
Ponce, PR
The numbers that matter most
What an investor checks first when sizing up a new metro — affordability ratio, rent vs income, cap rate proxy, and where the market is moving. Each metric shown vs. state and national medians for instant context.
moderate
Price to income
4.99×
The single most-cited 'is this market still cheap' check. Below 3× and you're in an affordability tailwind.
- vs Puerto Rico
- 4.99×=
- vs U.S.
- 3.43×
Benchmark
ACS median home value ÷ median HHI
burdened
Rent to income
31.3%
What share of a typical household's income goes to rent. Below 30% means tenants can absorb modest rent increases.
- vs Puerto Rico
- 31.3%=
- vs U.S.
- 23.3%
Benchmark
(HUD FMR 2BR × 12) ÷ median HHI
deal-by-deal
Cap rate proxy
4.07%
Rough first-pass yield assuming a 35% expense ratio. Not an underwriting number — a 'is this even worth modeling' filter.
- vs Puerto Rico
- 3.78%+0.29
- vs U.S.
- 4.35%
Benchmark
(FMR 2BR × 12 × 0.65) ÷ ACS median home value
shrinking
Net migration
0.00%
Forward-looking demand signal. Positive net migration drives rent growth and absorbs new supply.
- vs Puerto Rico
- 0.00%=
- vs U.S.
- 0.03%
Benchmark
IRS net migration ÷ population
Permit pipeline
—
permits per 1,000 residents
Forward-supply indicator. Above ~5 means the metro is building meaningfully relative to its size; below 2 means supply is tight.
- vs U.S.
- 3.52
Benchmark
Census BPS permits TTM ÷ population × 1,000
softening
Unemployment
8.4%
Tighter unemployment means higher wages, more rental demand, lower vacancy.
- vs Puerto Rico
- 7.8%
- vs U.S.
- 3.9%
Benchmark
BLS LAUS, latest month
Where prices are and where they've been
5-year price appreciation
+42.2%
homeValues.yearOverYear
+8.9%
Median home value
$103,100
The rent ladder
| Bedroom | Monthly | Annual | % of median HHI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 BR | $491 | $5,892 | 28.5% |
| 2 BR | $538 | $6,456 | 31.3% |
| 3 BR | $748 | $8,976 | 43.5% |
Labor market direction
Unemployment
8.4%
Median household income
$20,646
What's being built
Total TTM
—
Single-family
—
2–4 unit
—
5+ unit
—
All 6 counties, ranked by population
| County | Population | Home value | Median HHI | Permits TTM | YoY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ponce Municipio | 136,542 | $108,200 | $18,827 | — | — |
| Juana Díaz Municipio | 46,333 | $102,900 | $23,823 | — | — |
| Yauco Municipio | 33,988 | $98,800 | $21,918 | — | — |
| Villalba Municipio | 21,984 | $103,300 | $24,882 | — | — |
| Peñuelas Municipio | 20,298 | $88,000 | $20,959 | — | — |
| Guayanilla Municipio | 17,670 | $84,800 | $21,400 | — | — |
Similar metros nationally
| Metro | Pop | Med HHI | P/I | Cap proxy | HPI 5y | Permits/1k | Unemp |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★Ponce | 222,831 | $20,646 | 4.99× | 4.07% | +42.2% | — | 8.4% |
| Arecibo, PR | 181,820 | $24,436 | — | — | +42.2% | — | 6.2% |
| Aguadilla-Isabela, PR | 308,919 | $20,800 | — | — | +42.2% | — | 7.3% |
| San Germán, PR | 124,504 | $15,584 | — | — | +42.2% | — | — |
| Mayagüez, PR | 97,118 | $20,400 | — | — | +42.2% | — | 8.6% |
| Monroe, LA | 206,072 | $49,203 | — | — | +28.4% | — | 4.3% |
Who lives in Ponce
- Median age
- 44
- Bachelor's+
- 28.3%
- Owner-occupancy
- 71.4%
- Vacancy rate
- 20.5%
- Rent burdened (30%+)
- 28.2%
- Median household income
- $20,646
This page shows federally sourced data. A full editorial analysis with charts and investment commentary is in progress.
