
Arecibo, PR
The numbers that matter most
What an investor checks first when sizing up a new metro — affordability ratio, rent vs income, cap rate proxy, and where the market is moving. Each metric shown vs. state and national medians for instant context.
moderate
Price to income
4.57×
The single most-cited 'is this market still cheap' check. Below 3× and you're in an affordability tailwind.
- vs Puerto Rico
- 4.99×-0.42
- vs U.S.
- 3.43×
Benchmark
ACS median home value ÷ median HHI
moderate
Rent to income
25.0%
What share of a typical household's income goes to rent. Below 30% means tenants can absorb modest rent increases.
- vs Puerto Rico
- 31.3%-6.2
- vs U.S.
- 23.3%
Benchmark
(HUD FMR 2BR × 12) ÷ median HHI
tight
Cap rate proxy
3.56%
Rough first-pass yield assuming a 35% expense ratio. Not an underwriting number — a 'is this even worth modeling' filter.
- vs Puerto Rico
- 3.78%
- vs U.S.
- 4.35%
Benchmark
(FMR 2BR × 12 × 0.65) ÷ ACS median home value
shrinking
Net migration
0.00%
Forward-looking demand signal. Positive net migration drives rent growth and absorbs new supply.
- vs Puerto Rico
- 0.00%=
- vs U.S.
- 0.03%
Benchmark
IRS net migration ÷ population
Permit pipeline
—
permits per 1,000 residents
Forward-supply indicator. Above ~5 means the metro is building meaningfully relative to its size; below 2 means supply is tight.
- vs U.S.
- 3.52
Benchmark
Census BPS permits TTM ÷ population × 1,000
softening
Unemployment
6.2%
Tighter unemployment means higher wages, more rental demand, lower vacancy.
- vs Puerto Rico
- 7.8%-1.6
- vs U.S.
- 3.9%
Benchmark
BLS LAUS, latest month
Where prices are and where they've been
5-year price appreciation
+42.2%
homeValues.yearOverYear
+8.9%
Median home value
$111,700
The rent ladder
| Bedroom | Monthly | Annual | % of median HHI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 BR | $440 | $5,280 | 21.6% |
| 2 BR | $510 | $6,120 | 25.0% |
| 3 BR | $699 | $8,388 | 34.3% |
Labor market direction
Unemployment
6.2%
Median household income
$24,436
What's being built
Total TTM
—
Single-family
—
2–4 unit
—
5+ unit
—
All 4 counties, ranked by population
| County | Population | Home value | Median HHI | Permits TTM | YoY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arecibo Municipio | 87,217 | $110,800 | $23,175 | — | — |
| Hatillo Municipio | 38,330 | $128,500 | $28,001 | — | — |
| Camuy Municipio | 32,733 | $105,500 | $26,094 | — | — |
| Quebradillas Municipio | 23,540 | $109,700 | $23,624 | — | — |
Similar metros nationally
| Metro | Pop | Med HHI | P/I | Cap proxy | HPI 5y | Permits/1k | Unemp |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★Arecibo | 181,820 | $24,436 | 4.57× | 3.56% | +42.2% | — | 6.2% |
| Ponce, PR | 222,831 | $20,646 | — | — | +42.2% | — | 8.4% |
| Aguadilla-Isabela, PR | 308,919 | $20,800 | — | — | +42.2% | — | 7.3% |
| San Germán, PR | 124,504 | $15,584 | — | — | +42.2% | — | — |
| Mayagüez, PR | 97,118 | $20,400 | — | — | +42.2% | — | 8.6% |
| Carbondale-Marion, IL | 133,609 | $45,572 | — | — | — | — | — |
Who lives in Arecibo
- Median age
- 45
- Bachelor's+
- 26.4%
- Owner-occupancy
- 68.3%
- Vacancy rate
- 21.5%
- Rent burdened (30%+)
- 20.6%
- Median household income
- $24,436
This page shows federally sourced data. A full editorial analysis with charts and investment commentary is in progress.
