
State College, PA
The numbers that matter most
What an investor checks first when sizing up a new metro — affordability ratio, rent vs income, cap rate proxy, and where the market is moving. Each metric shown vs. state and national medians for instant context.
moderate
Price to income
4.24×
The single most-cited 'is this market still cheap' check. Below 3× and you're in an affordability tailwind.
- vs Pennsylvania
- 3.03×
- vs U.S.
- 3.43×
Benchmark
ACS median home value ÷ median HHI
comfortable
Rent to income
23.2%
What share of a typical household's income goes to rent. Below 30% means tenants can absorb modest rent increases.
- vs Pennsylvania
- 22.4%
- vs U.S.
- 23.3%-0.1
Benchmark
(HUD FMR 2BR × 12) ÷ median HHI
tight
Cap rate proxy
3.56%
Rough first-pass yield assuming a 35% expense ratio. Not an underwriting number — a 'is this even worth modeling' filter.
- vs Pennsylvania
- 4.86%
- vs U.S.
- 4.35%
Benchmark
(FMR 2BR × 12 × 0.65) ÷ ACS median home value
shrinking
Net migration
-0.36%
Forward-looking demand signal. Positive net migration drives rent growth and absorbs new supply.
- vs Pennsylvania
- 0.09%
- vs U.S.
- 0.03%
Benchmark
IRS net migration ÷ population
tight
Permit pipeline
1.86
permits per 1,000 residents
Forward-supply indicator. Above ~5 means the metro is building meaningfully relative to its size; below 2 means supply is tight.
- vs Pennsylvania
- 2.17
- vs U.S.
- 3.52
Benchmark
Census BPS permits TTM ÷ population × 1,000
very tight labor market
Unemployment
2.7%
Tighter unemployment means higher wages, more rental demand, lower vacancy.
- vs Pennsylvania
- 3.6%-0.9
- vs U.S.
- 3.9%-1.2
Benchmark
BLS LAUS, latest month
Where prices are and where they've been
5-year price appreciation
+37.3%
homeValues.yearOverYear
+2.1%
Median home value
$308,100
The rent ladder
| Bedroom | Monthly | Annual | % of median HHI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 BR | $1,194 | $14,328 | 19.7% |
| 2 BR | $1,406 | $16,872 | 23.2% |
| 3 BR | $1,760 | $21,120 | 29.0% |
Labor market direction
Unemployment
2.7%
Median household income
$72,748
What's being built
Total TTM
295
+1.0% YoY
Single-family
242
2–4 unit
38
5+ unit
15
All 1 counties, ranked by population
| County | Population | Home value | Median HHI | Permits TTM | YoY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Centre County | 158,665 | $308,100 | $72,748 | 295 | +1.0% |
Similar metros nationally
| Metro | Pop | Med HHI | P/I | Cap proxy | HPI 5y | Permits/1k | Unemp |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★State College | 158,665 | $72,748 | 4.24× | 3.56% | +37.3% | 1.86 | 2.7% |
| Grand Junction, CO | 156,131 | $71,485 | — | — | +57.3% | — | 3.7% |
| Sebastian-Vero Beach, FL | 160,986 | $71,049 | — | — | +58.0% | — | 5.5% |
| Odessa, TX | 162,300 | $71,031 | — | — | +24.1% | — | 3.5% |
| Chambersburg-Waynesboro, PA | 156,084 | $74,946 | — | — | +51.2% | — | 3.1% |
| Santa Fe, NM | 154,481 | $74,689 | — | — | +52.6% | — | 3.6% |
Where people are moving in from
Net migration
-567
-0.36% of population
| Origin county | Tax returns |
|---|---|
| Clearfield County, PA | 176 |
| Clinton County, PA | 115 |
| Blair County, PA | 108 |
| Allegheny County, PA | 79 |
| Philadelphia County, PA | 73 |
| Huntingdon County, PA | 64 |
Who lives in State College
- Median age
- 34
- Bachelor's+
- 46.5%
- Owner-occupancy
- 61.8%
- Vacancy rate
- 10.6%
- Rent burdened (30%+)
- 52.4%
- Median household income
- $72,748
This page shows federally sourced data. A full editorial analysis with charts and investment commentary is in progress.
