
New Bern, NC
The numbers that matter most
What an investor checks first when sizing up a new metro — affordability ratio, rent vs income, cap rate proxy, and where the market is moving. Each metric shown vs. state and national medians for instant context.
moderate
Price to income
3.14×
The single most-cited 'is this market still cheap' check. Below 3× and you're in an affordability tailwind.
- vs North Carolina
- 3.36×-0.22
- vs U.S.
- 3.43×-0.30
Benchmark
ACS median home value ÷ median HHI
comfortable
Rent to income
24.9%
What share of a typical household's income goes to rent. Below 30% means tenants can absorb modest rent increases.
- vs North Carolina
- 25.2%-0.3
- vs U.S.
- 23.3%
Benchmark
(HUD FMR 2BR × 12) ÷ median HHI
deal-by-deal
Cap rate proxy
5.16%
Rough first-pass yield assuming a 35% expense ratio. Not an underwriting number — a 'is this even worth modeling' filter.
- vs North Carolina
- 4.41%+0.76
- vs U.S.
- 4.35%+0.81
Benchmark
(FMR 2BR × 12 × 0.65) ÷ ACS median home value
steady
Net migration
+0.14%
Forward-looking demand signal. Positive net migration drives rent growth and absorbs new supply.
- vs North Carolina
- 0.20%
- vs U.S.
- 0.03%+0.11
Benchmark
IRS net migration ÷ population
strong
Permit pipeline
5.87
permits per 1,000 residents
Forward-supply indicator. Above ~5 means the metro is building meaningfully relative to its size; below 2 means supply is tight.
- vs North Carolina
- 7.51
- vs U.S.
- 3.52+2.35
Benchmark
Census BPS permits TTM ÷ population × 1,000
Unemployment
—
Tighter unemployment means higher wages, more rental demand, lower vacancy.
- vs North Carolina
- 3.5%
- vs U.S.
- 3.9%
Benchmark
BLS LAUS, latest month
Where prices are and where they've been
5-year price appreciation
—
homeValues.yearOverYear
—
Median home value
$198,700
Labor market direction
Unemployment
—
Median household income
$63,380
What's being built
Total TTM
720
+41.0% YoY
Single-family
720
2–4 unit
0
5+ unit
0
All 3 counties, ranked by population
| County | Population | Home value | Median HHI | Permits TTM | YoY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Craven County | 101,098 | $206,200 | $64,635 | 580 | +44.6% |
| Pamlico County | 12,317 | $209,800 | $61,624 | 97 | +27.6% |
| Jones County | 9,263 | $122,600 | $55,659 | 43 | +22.9% |
Similar metros nationally
| Metro | Pop | Med HHI | P/I | Cap proxy | HPI 5y | Permits/1k | Unemp |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★New Bern | 122,678 | $63,380 | 3.14× | 5.16% | — | 5.87 | —% |
| St. Joseph, MO-KS | 121,952 | $62,900 | — | — | +53.8% | — | 3.1% |
| Cleveland, TN | 126,479 | $63,490 | — | — | +67.3% | — | 3.5% |
| Owensboro, KY | 121,147 | $65,656 | — | — | +44.8% | — | 3.3% |
| San Angelo, TX | 122,229 | $66,037 | — | — | +46.1% | — | 2.9% |
| Altoona, PA | 122,640 | $60,594 | — | — | +42.1% | — | 3.7% |
Where people are moving in from
Net migration
+172
+0.14% of population
| Origin county | Tax returns |
|---|---|
| Carteret County, NC | 314 |
| Onslow County, NC | 289 |
| Wake County, NC | 159 |
| Craven County, NC | 154 |
| Pitt County, NC | 141 |
| Pamlico County, NC | 119 |
Who lives in New Bern
- Median age
- 41
- Bachelor's+
- 25.3%
- Owner-occupancy
- 71.8%
- Vacancy rate
- 14.7%
- Rent burdened (30%+)
- 41.9%
- Median household income
- $63,380
This page shows federally sourced data. A full editorial analysis with charts and investment commentary is in progress.
