
Jacksonville, NC
The numbers that matter most
What an investor checks first when sizing up a new metro — affordability ratio, rent vs income, cap rate proxy, and where the market is moving. Each metric shown vs. state and national medians for instant context.
moderate
Price to income
3.40×
The single most-cited 'is this market still cheap' check. Below 3× and you're in an affordability tailwind.
- vs North Carolina
- 3.36×
- vs U.S.
- 3.43×-0.03
Benchmark
ACS median home value ÷ median HHI
comfortable
Rent to income
21.8%
What share of a typical household's income goes to rent. Below 30% means tenants can absorb modest rent increases.
- vs North Carolina
- 25.2%-3.4
- vs U.S.
- 23.3%-1.5
Benchmark
(HUD FMR 2BR × 12) ÷ median HHI
deal-by-deal
Cap rate proxy
4.17%
Rough first-pass yield assuming a 35% expense ratio. Not an underwriting number — a 'is this even worth modeling' filter.
- vs North Carolina
- 4.41%
- vs U.S.
- 4.35%
Benchmark
(FMR 2BR × 12 × 0.65) ÷ ACS median home value
steady
Net migration
+0.25%
Forward-looking demand signal. Positive net migration drives rent growth and absorbs new supply.
- vs North Carolina
- 0.20%+0.05
- vs U.S.
- 0.03%+0.23
Benchmark
IRS net migration ÷ population
strong
Permit pipeline
6.64
permits per 1,000 residents
Forward-supply indicator. Above ~5 means the metro is building meaningfully relative to its size; below 2 means supply is tight.
- vs North Carolina
- 7.51
- vs U.S.
- 3.52+3.12
Benchmark
Census BPS permits TTM ÷ population × 1,000
healthy
Unemployment
3.6%
Tighter unemployment means higher wages, more rental demand, lower vacancy.
- vs North Carolina
- 3.5%
- vs U.S.
- 3.9%-0.3
Benchmark
BLS LAUS, latest month
Where prices are and where they've been
5-year price appreciation
+68.6%
homeValues.yearOverYear
+4.0%
Median home value
$219,500
The rent ladder
| Bedroom | Monthly | Annual | % of median HHI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 BR | $935 | $11,220 | 17.4% |
| 2 BR | $1,173 | $14,076 | 21.8% |
| 3 BR | $1,631 | $19,572 | 30.3% |
Labor market direction
Unemployment
3.6%
Median household income
$64,568
What's being built
Total TTM
1,353
+33.6% YoY
Single-family
1,291
2–4 unit
42
5+ unit
20
All 1 counties, ranked by population
| County | Population | Home value | Median HHI | Permits TTM | YoY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Onslow County | 203,686 | $219,500 | $64,568 | 1,353 | +33.6% |
Similar metros nationally
| Metro | Pop | Med HHI | P/I | Cap proxy | HPI 5y | Permits/1k | Unemp |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★Jacksonville | 203,686 | $64,568 | 3.40× | 4.17% | +68.6% | 6.64 | 3.6% |
| Houma-Thibodaux, LA | 206,082 | $64,269 | — | — | +18.3% | — | 3.5% |
| Elkhart-Goshen, IN | 206,841 | $65,617 | — | — | +55.4% | — | 2.7% |
| Athens-Clarke County, GA | 216,194 | $62,897 | — | — | +68.9% | — | 3.0% |
| Yuma, AZ | 204,374 | $60,417 | — | — | +56.0% | — | 12.4% |
| Lake Charles, LA | 216,217 | $67,010 | — | — | +14.4% | — | 4.2% |
Where people are moving in from
Net migration
+517
+0.25% of population
| Origin county | Tax returns |
|---|---|
| San Diego County, CA | 488 |
| New Hanover County, NC | 283 |
| Carteret County, NC | 280 |
| Pender County, NC | 255 |
| Craven County, NC | 248 |
| Wake County, NC | 222 |
Who lives in Jacksonville
- Median age
- 27
- Bachelor's+
- 26.1%
- Owner-occupancy
- 61.0%
- Vacancy rate
- 15.6%
- Rent burdened (30%+)
- 46.0%
- Median household income
- $64,568
This page shows federally sourced data. A full editorial analysis with charts and investment commentary is in progress.
