
Ithaca, NY
The numbers that matter most
What an investor checks first when sizing up a new metro — affordability ratio, rent vs income, cap rate proxy, and where the market is moving. Each metric shown vs. state and national medians for instant context.
moderate
Price to income
3.72×
The single most-cited 'is this market still cheap' check. Below 3× and you're in an affordability tailwind.
- vs New York
- 2.92×
- vs U.S.
- 3.43×
Benchmark
ACS median home value ÷ median HHI
moderate
Rent to income
28.8%
What share of a typical household's income goes to rent. Below 30% means tenants can absorb modest rent increases.
- vs New York
- 23.7%
- vs U.S.
- 23.3%
Benchmark
(HUD FMR 2BR × 12) ÷ median HHI
deal-by-deal
Cap rate proxy
5.04%
Rough first-pass yield assuming a 35% expense ratio. Not an underwriting number — a 'is this even worth modeling' filter.
- vs New York
- 5.04%=
- vs U.S.
- 4.35%+0.69
Benchmark
(FMR 2BR × 12 × 0.65) ÷ ACS median home value
shrinking
Net migration
-0.81%
Forward-looking demand signal. Positive net migration drives rent growth and absorbs new supply.
- vs New York
- -0.11%
- vs U.S.
- 0.03%
Benchmark
IRS net migration ÷ population
normal
Permit pipeline
3.81
permits per 1,000 residents
Forward-supply indicator. Above ~5 means the metro is building meaningfully relative to its size; below 2 means supply is tight.
- vs New York
- 2.37+1.44
- vs U.S.
- 3.52+0.29
Benchmark
Census BPS permits TTM ÷ population × 1,000
healthy
Unemployment
3.4%
Tighter unemployment means higher wages, more rental demand, lower vacancy.
- vs New York
- 3.9%-0.5
- vs U.S.
- 3.9%-0.5
Benchmark
BLS LAUS, latest month
Where prices are and where they've been
5-year price appreciation
+52.0%
homeValues.yearOverYear
+6.1%
Median home value
$271,500
The rent ladder
| Bedroom | Monthly | Annual | % of median HHI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 BR | $1,466 | $17,592 | 24.1% |
| 2 BR | $1,753 | $21,036 | 28.8% |
| 3 BR | $2,102 | $25,224 | 34.5% |
Labor market direction
Unemployment
3.4%
Median household income
$73,012
What's being built
Total TTM
391
+8.3% YoY
Single-family
126
2–4 unit
27
5+ unit
238
All 1 counties, ranked by population
| County | Population | Home value | Median HHI | Permits TTM | YoY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tompkins County | 102,555 | $271,500 | $73,012 | 391 | +8.3% |
Similar metros nationally
| Metro | Pop | Med HHI | P/I | Cap proxy | HPI 5y | Permits/1k | Unemp |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★Ithaca | 102,555 | $73,012 | 3.72× | 5.04% | +52.0% | 3.81 | 3.4% |
| Fond du Lac, WI | 104,027 | $73,154 | — | — | +63.7% | — | 2.7% |
| Mankato, MN | 103,402 | $74,722 | — | — | +39.9% | — | 3.5% |
| Dubuque, IA | 98,812 | $75,919 | — | — | +47.6% | — | 3.4% |
| Grand Forks, ND-MN | 104,055 | $68,653 | — | — | +34.8% | — | 2.7% |
| Victoria, TX | 98,301 | $69,618 | — | — | +37.2% | — | 3.9% |
Where people are moving in from
Net migration
-830
-0.81% of population
| Origin county | Tax returns |
|---|---|
| Cortland County, NY | 152 |
| Tioga County, NY | 84 |
| Onondaga County, NY | 78 |
| New York County, NY | 77 |
| Kings County, NY | 66 |
| Cayuga County, NY | 58 |
Who lives in Ithaca
- Median age
- 33
- Bachelor's+
- 59.2%
- Owner-occupancy
- 53.8%
- Vacancy rate
- 8.6%
- Rent burdened (30%+)
- 54.8%
- Median household income
- $73,012
This page shows federally sourced data. A full editorial analysis with charts and investment commentary is in progress.
