
Las Cruces, NM
The numbers that matter most
What an investor checks first when sizing up a new metro — affordability ratio, rent vs income, cap rate proxy, and where the market is moving. Each metric shown vs. state and national medians for instant context.
moderate
Price to income
3.69×
The single most-cited 'is this market still cheap' check. Below 3× and you're in an affordability tailwind.
- vs New Mexico
- 3.78×-0.09
- vs U.S.
- 3.43×
Benchmark
ACS median home value ÷ median HHI
comfortable
Rent to income
22.5%
What share of a typical household's income goes to rent. Below 30% means tenants can absorb modest rent increases.
- vs New Mexico
- 25.2%-2.7
- vs U.S.
- 23.3%-0.8
Benchmark
(HUD FMR 2BR × 12) ÷ median HHI
tight
Cap rate proxy
3.96%
Rough first-pass yield assuming a 35% expense ratio. Not an underwriting number — a 'is this even worth modeling' filter.
- vs New Mexico
- 4.15%
- vs U.S.
- 4.35%
Benchmark
(FMR 2BR × 12 × 0.65) ÷ ACS median home value
steady
Net migration
+0.10%
Forward-looking demand signal. Positive net migration drives rent growth and absorbs new supply.
- vs New Mexico
- 0.10%=
- vs U.S.
- 0.03%+0.08
Benchmark
IRS net migration ÷ population
normal
Permit pipeline
3.64
permits per 1,000 residents
Forward-supply indicator. Above ~5 means the metro is building meaningfully relative to its size; below 2 means supply is tight.
- vs New Mexico
- 3.31+0.34
- vs U.S.
- 3.52+0.12
Benchmark
Census BPS permits TTM ÷ population × 1,000
softening
Unemployment
4.9%
Tighter unemployment means higher wages, more rental demand, lower vacancy.
- vs New Mexico
- 4.3%
- vs U.S.
- 3.9%
Benchmark
BLS LAUS, latest month
Where prices are and where they've been
5-year price appreciation
+49.2%
homeValues.yearOverYear
-0.3%
Median home value
$205,400
The rent ladder
| Bedroom | Monthly | Annual | % of median HHI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 BR | $951 | $11,412 | 20.5% |
| 2 BR | $1,042 | $12,504 | 22.5% |
| 3 BR | $1,449 | $17,388 | 31.2% |
Labor market direction
Unemployment
4.9%
Median household income
$55,663
What's being built
Total TTM
801
+2.8% YoY
Single-family
710
2–4 unit
91
5+ unit
0
All 1 counties, ranked by population
| County | Population | Home value | Median HHI | Permits TTM | YoY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Doña Ana County | 219,870 | $205,400 | $55,663 | 801 | +2.8% |
Similar metros nationally
| Metro | Pop | Med HHI | P/I | Cap proxy | HPI 5y | Permits/1k | Unemp |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★Las Cruces | 219,870 | $55,663 | 3.69× | 3.96% | +49.2% | 3.64 | 4.9% |
| Lake Havasu City-Kingman, AZ | 214,229 | $55,799 | — | — | +46.1% | — | 4.9% |
| Johnson City, TN | 207,442 | $56,096 | — | — | +75.6% | — | 3.3% |
| Macon-Bibb County, GA | 233,334 | $58,127 | — | — | +61.7% | — | 3.9% |
| Lafayette-West Lafayette, IN | 224,515 | $59,895 | — | — | +61.0% | — | 2.3% |
| Florence, SC | 200,040 | $53,874 | — | — | +49.5% | — | 5.3% |
Where people are moving in from
Net migration
+228
+0.10% of population
| Origin county | Tax returns |
|---|---|
| El Paso County, TX | 1,106 |
| Bernalillo County, NM | 243 |
| Otero County, NM | 226 |
| Maricopa County, AZ | 188 |
| Luna County, NM | 112 |
| Grant County, NM | 86 |
Who lives in Las Cruces
- Median age
- 34
- Bachelor's+
- 31.4%
- Owner-occupancy
- 65.3%
- Vacancy rate
- 8.6%
- Rent burdened (30%+)
- 48.0%
- Median household income
- $55,663
This page shows federally sourced data. A full editorial analysis with charts and investment commentary is in progress.
