
Grand Island, NE
The numbers that matter most
What an investor checks first when sizing up a new metro — affordability ratio, rent vs income, cap rate proxy, and where the market is moving. Each metric shown vs. state and national medians for instant context.
affordable
Price to income
2.99×
The single most-cited 'is this market still cheap' check. Below 3× and you're in an affordability tailwind.
- vs Nebraska
- 2.99×=
- vs U.S.
- 3.43×-0.44
Benchmark
ACS median home value ÷ median HHI
comfortable
Rent to income
21.6%
What share of a typical household's income goes to rent. Below 30% means tenants can absorb modest rent increases.
- vs Nebraska
- 19.8%
- vs U.S.
- 23.3%-1.7
Benchmark
(HUD FMR 2BR × 12) ÷ median HHI
deal-by-deal
Cap rate proxy
4.70%
Rough first-pass yield assuming a 35% expense ratio. Not an underwriting number — a 'is this even worth modeling' filter.
- vs Nebraska
- 4.30%+0.40
- vs U.S.
- 4.35%+0.35
Benchmark
(FMR 2BR × 12 × 0.65) ÷ ACS median home value
shrinking
Net migration
-0.23%
Forward-looking demand signal. Positive net migration drives rent growth and absorbs new supply.
- vs Nebraska
- -0.08%
- vs U.S.
- 0.03%
Benchmark
IRS net migration ÷ population
normal
Permit pipeline
3.28
permits per 1,000 residents
Forward-supply indicator. Above ~5 means the metro is building meaningfully relative to its size; below 2 means supply is tight.
- vs Nebraska
- 6.76
- vs U.S.
- 3.52
Benchmark
Census BPS permits TTM ÷ population × 1,000
healthy
Unemployment
3.2%
Tighter unemployment means higher wages, more rental demand, lower vacancy.
- vs Nebraska
- 3.2%=
- vs U.S.
- 3.9%-0.7
Benchmark
BLS LAUS, latest month
Where prices are and where they've been
5-year price appreciation
+55.9%
homeValues.yearOverYear
+3.7%
Median home value
$201,600
The rent ladder
| Bedroom | Monthly | Annual | % of median HHI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 BR | $978 | $11,736 | 17.4% |
| 2 BR | $1,215 | $14,580 | 21.6% |
| 3 BR | $1,530 | $18,360 | 27.2% |
Labor market direction
Unemployment
3.2%
Median household income
$67,397
What's being built
Total TTM
252
Single-family
123
2–4 unit
92
5+ unit
37
All 3 counties, ranked by population
| County | Population | Home value | Median HHI | Permits TTM | YoY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hall County | 62,575 | $207,900 | $67,549 | 200 | |
| Merrick County | 7,675 | $168,000 | $62,849 | 42 | |
| Howard County | 6,476 | $205,200 | $74,508 | 10 |
Similar metros nationally
| Metro | Pop | Med HHI | P/I | Cap proxy | HPI 5y | Permits/1k | Unemp |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★Grand Island | 76,726 | $67,397 | 2.99× | 4.70% | +55.9% | 3.28 | 3.2% |
| Casper, WY | 79,506 | $71,247 | — | — | +39.0% | — | 3.7% |
| Great Falls, MT | 84,423 | $66,203 | — | — | +63.6% | — | 3.7% |
| Elmira, NY | 83,584 | $63,469 | — | — | +41.1% | — | 3.7% |
| Kokomo, IN | 83,452 | $62,496 | — | — | +58.4% | — | 4.0% |
| Bloomsburg-Berwick, PA | 83,089 | $61,992 | — | — | — | — | — |
Where people are moving in from
Net migration
-176
-0.23% of population
| Origin county | Tax returns |
|---|---|
| Hall County, NE | 142 |
| Adams County, NE | 112 |
| Buffalo County, NE | 101 |
| Lancaster County, NE | 87 |
| Douglas County, NE | 63 |
| Merrick County, NE | 57 |
Who lives in Grand Island
- Median age
- 37
- Bachelor's+
- 20.9%
- Owner-occupancy
- 66.0%
- Vacancy rate
- 5.5%
- Rent burdened (30%+)
- 41.3%
- Median household income
- $67,397
This page shows federally sourced data. A full editorial analysis with charts and investment commentary is in progress.
