
Billings, MT
The numbers that matter most
What an investor checks first when sizing up a new metro — affordability ratio, rent vs income, cap rate proxy, and where the market is moving. Each metric shown vs. state and national medians for instant context.
moderate
Price to income
4.33×
The single most-cited 'is this market still cheap' check. Below 3× and you're in an affordability tailwind.
- vs Montana
- 4.33×=
- vs U.S.
- 3.43×
Benchmark
ACS median home value ÷ median HHI
comfortable
Rent to income
22.8%
What share of a typical household's income goes to rent. Below 30% means tenants can absorb modest rent increases.
- vs Montana
- 23.3%-0.5
- vs U.S.
- 23.3%-0.5
Benchmark
(HUD FMR 2BR × 12) ÷ median HHI
tight
Cap rate proxy
3.43%
Rough first-pass yield assuming a 35% expense ratio. Not an underwriting number — a 'is this even worth modeling' filter.
- vs Montana
- 3.43%=
- vs U.S.
- 4.35%
Benchmark
(FMR 2BR × 12 × 0.65) ÷ ACS median home value
steady
Net migration
+0.32%
Forward-looking demand signal. Positive net migration drives rent growth and absorbs new supply.
- vs Montana
- -0.02%+0.34
- vs U.S.
- 0.03%+0.29
Benchmark
IRS net migration ÷ population
strong
Permit pipeline
6.03
permits per 1,000 residents
Forward-supply indicator. Above ~5 means the metro is building meaningfully relative to its size; below 2 means supply is tight.
- vs Montana
- 6.03=
- vs U.S.
- 3.52+2.51
Benchmark
Census BPS permits TTM ÷ population × 1,000
healthy
Unemployment
3.4%
Tighter unemployment means higher wages, more rental demand, lower vacancy.
- vs Montana
- 3.6%-0.2
- vs U.S.
- 3.9%-0.5
Benchmark
BLS LAUS, latest month
Where prices are and where they've been
5-year price appreciation
+48.7%
homeValues.yearOverYear
+3.1%
Median home value
$322,700
The rent ladder
| Bedroom | Monthly | Annual | % of median HHI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 BR | $1,109 | $13,308 | 17.8% |
| 2 BR | $1,417 | $17,004 | 22.8% |
| 3 BR | $1,951 | $23,412 | 31.4% |
Labor market direction
Unemployment
3.4%
Median household income
$74,599
What's being built
Total TTM
1,117
Single-family
776
2–4 unit
210
5+ unit
131
All 3 counties, ranked by population
| County | Population | Home value | Median HHI | Permits TTM | YoY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yellowstone County | 165,524 | $317,600 | $74,400 | 1,089 | -0.9% |
| Carbon County | 10,645 | $379,300 | $71,017 | 28 | |
| Stillwater County | 8,978 | $355,600 | $81,503 | 0 |
Similar metros nationally
| Metro | Pop | Med HHI | P/I | Cap proxy | HPI 5y | Permits/1k | Unemp |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★Billings | 185,147 | $74,599 | 4.33× | 3.43% | +48.7% | 6.03 | 3.4% |
| Yuba City, CA | 180,806 | $74,762 | — | — | +34.0% | — | 7.9% |
| St. George, UT | 183,297 | $76,411 | — | — | +52.1% | — | 3.7% |
| Dover, DE | 182,400 | $72,872 | — | — | +49.9% | — | 5.6% |
| Redding, CA | 181,852 | $71,931 | — | — | +27.0% | — | 5.2% |
| Iowa City, IA | 175,894 | $74,142 | — | — | +34.6% | — | 2.4% |
Where people are moving in from
Net migration
+593
+0.32% of population
| Origin county | Tax returns |
|---|---|
| Gallatin County, MT | 283 |
| Yellowstone County, MT | 256 |
| Stillwater County, MT | 133 |
| Missoula County, MT | 116 |
| Carbon County, MT | 111 |
| Big Horn County, MT | 104 |
Who lives in Billings
- Median age
- 40
- Bachelor's+
- 33.5%
- Owner-occupancy
- 70.2%
- Vacancy rate
- 7.8%
- Rent burdened (30%+)
- 44.3%
- Median household income
- $74,599
This page shows federally sourced data. A full editorial analysis with charts and investment commentary is in progress.
