
Columbia, MO
The numbers that matter most
What an investor checks first when sizing up a new metro — affordability ratio, rent vs income, cap rate proxy, and where the market is moving. Each metric shown vs. state and national medians for instant context.
moderate
Price to income
3.49×
The single most-cited 'is this market still cheap' check. Below 3× and you're in an affordability tailwind.
- vs Missouri
- 2.93×
- vs U.S.
- 3.43×
Benchmark
ACS median home value ÷ median HHI
comfortable
Rent to income
20.0%
What share of a typical household's income goes to rent. Below 30% means tenants can absorb modest rent increases.
- vs Missouri
- 19.4%
- vs U.S.
- 23.3%-3.2
Benchmark
(HUD FMR 2BR × 12) ÷ median HHI
tight
Cap rate proxy
3.73%
Rough first-pass yield assuming a 35% expense ratio. Not an underwriting number — a 'is this even worth modeling' filter.
- vs Missouri
- 4.00%
- vs U.S.
- 4.35%
Benchmark
(FMR 2BR × 12 × 0.65) ÷ ACS median home value
shrinking
Net migration
-0.14%
Forward-looking demand signal. Positive net migration drives rent growth and absorbs new supply.
- vs Missouri
- -0.02%
- vs U.S.
- 0.03%
Benchmark
IRS net migration ÷ population
normal
Permit pipeline
4.67
permits per 1,000 residents
Forward-supply indicator. Above ~5 means the metro is building meaningfully relative to its size; below 2 means supply is tight.
- vs Missouri
- 2.99+1.68
- vs U.S.
- 3.52+1.15
Benchmark
Census BPS permits TTM ÷ population × 1,000
very tight labor market
Unemployment
2.6%
Tighter unemployment means higher wages, more rental demand, lower vacancy.
- vs Missouri
- 3.0%-0.4
- vs U.S.
- 3.9%-1.3
Benchmark
BLS LAUS, latest month
Where prices are and where they've been
5-year price appreciation
+56.3%
homeValues.yearOverYear
+3.6%
Median home value
$242,500
The rent ladder
| Bedroom | Monthly | Annual | % of median HHI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 BR | $1,011 | $12,132 | 17.5% |
| 2 BR | $1,160 | $13,920 | 20.0% |
| 3 BR | $1,573 | $18,876 | 27.2% |
Labor market direction
Unemployment
2.6%
Median household income
$69,463
What's being built
Total TTM
986
Single-family
600
2–4 unit
36
5+ unit
350
All 3 counties, ranked by population
| County | Population | Home value | Median HHI | Permits TTM | YoY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boone County | 184,043 | $254,100 | $69,913 | 963 | |
| Cooper County | 16,893 | $197,100 | $67,548 | 16 | +77.8% |
| Howard County | 10,142 | $145,300 | $62,628 | 7 |
Similar metros nationally
| Metro | Pop | Med HHI | P/I | Cap proxy | HPI 5y | Permits/1k | Unemp |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★Columbia | 211,078 | $69,463 | 3.49× | 3.73% | +56.3% | 4.67 | 2.6% |
| Chico, CA | 213,605 | $68,574 | — | — | +21.4% | — | 5.8% |
| Lake Charles, LA | 216,217 | $67,010 | — | — | +14.4% | — | 4.2% |
| Medford, OR | 222,604 | $71,443 | — | — | +32.7% | — | 5.5% |
| Elkhart-Goshen, IN | 206,841 | $65,617 | — | — | +55.4% | — | 2.7% |
| Springfield, IL | 208,406 | $74,580 | — | — | +43.6% | — | 5.0% |
Where people are moving in from
Net migration
-286
-0.14% of population
| Origin county | Tax returns |
|---|---|
| Cole County, MO | 256 |
| Callaway County, MO | 236 |
| Boone County, MO | 196 |
| St. Louis County, MO | 195 |
| Randolph County, MO | 186 |
| Jackson County, MO | 179 |
Who lives in Columbia
- Median age
- 33
- Bachelor's+
- 47.5%
- Owner-occupancy
- 60.5%
- Vacancy rate
- 8.5%
- Rent burdened (30%+)
- 46.9%
- Median household income
- $69,463
This page shows federally sourced data. A full editorial analysis with charts and investment commentary is in progress.
