
St. Cloud, MN
The numbers that matter most
What an investor checks first when sizing up a new metro — affordability ratio, rent vs income, cap rate proxy, and where the market is moving. Each metric shown vs. state and national medians for instant context.
moderate
Price to income
3.36×
The single most-cited 'is this market still cheap' check. Below 3× and you're in an affordability tailwind.
- vs Minnesota
- 3.36×=
- vs U.S.
- 3.43×-0.07
Benchmark
ACS median home value ÷ median HHI
comfortable
Rent to income
19.1%
What share of a typical household's income goes to rent. Below 30% means tenants can absorb modest rent increases.
- vs Minnesota
- 19.1%=
- vs U.S.
- 23.3%-4.2
Benchmark
(HUD FMR 2BR × 12) ÷ median HHI
tight
Cap rate proxy
3.70%
Rough first-pass yield assuming a 35% expense ratio. Not an underwriting number — a 'is this even worth modeling' filter.
- vs Minnesota
- 3.76%
- vs U.S.
- 4.35%
Benchmark
(FMR 2BR × 12 × 0.65) ÷ ACS median home value
shrinking
Net migration
-0.20%
Forward-looking demand signal. Positive net migration drives rent growth and absorbs new supply.
- vs Minnesota
- -0.20%
- vs U.S.
- 0.03%
Benchmark
IRS net migration ÷ population
normal
Permit pipeline
2.98
permits per 1,000 residents
Forward-supply indicator. Above ~5 means the metro is building meaningfully relative to its size; below 2 means supply is tight.
- vs Minnesota
- 3.32
- vs U.S.
- 3.52
Benchmark
Census BPS permits TTM ÷ population × 1,000
softening
Unemployment
4.9%
Tighter unemployment means higher wages, more rental demand, lower vacancy.
- vs Minnesota
- 4.0%
- vs U.S.
- 3.9%
Benchmark
BLS LAUS, latest month
Where prices are and where they've been
5-year price appreciation
+42.3%
homeValues.yearOverYear
+0.6%
Median home value
$254,200
The rent ladder
| Bedroom | Monthly | Annual | % of median HHI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 BR | $919 | $11,028 | 14.6% |
| 2 BR | $1,206 | $14,472 | 19.1% |
| 3 BR | $1,604 | $19,248 | 25.4% |
Labor market direction
Unemployment
4.9%
Median household income
$75,670
What's being built
Total TTM
596
Single-family
426
2–4 unit
11
5+ unit
159
All 2 counties, ranked by population
| County | Population | Home value | Median HHI | Permits TTM | YoY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stearns County | 158,622 | $256,500 | $76,447 | 459 | |
| Benton County | 41,300 | $247,100 | $71,480 | 137 | +93.0% |
Similar metros nationally
| Metro | Pop | Med HHI | P/I | Cap proxy | HPI 5y | Permits/1k | Unemp |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★St. Cloud | 199,922 | $75,670 | 3.36× | 3.70% | +42.3% | 2.98 | 4.9% |
| Racine, WI | 197,068 | $75,331 | — | — | +58.0% | — | 3.6% |
| Gainesville, GA | 204,953 | $77,430 | — | — | +70.6% | — | 2.5% |
| Springfield, IL | 208,406 | $74,580 | — | — | +43.6% | — | 5.0% |
| Warner Robins, GA | 192,171 | $78,702 | — | — | +60.2% | — | 2.8% |
| Billings, MT | 185,147 | $74,599 | — | — | +48.7% | — | 3.4% |
Where people are moving in from
Net migration
-399
-0.20% of population
| Origin county | Tax returns |
|---|---|
| Stearns County, MN | 757 |
| Benton County, MN | 747 |
| Sherburne County, MN | 582 |
| Hennepin County, MN | 446 |
| Wright County, MN | 302 |
| Anoka County, MN | 170 |
Who lives in St. Cloud
- Median age
- 36
- Bachelor's+
- 27.7%
- Owner-occupancy
- 67.8%
- Vacancy rate
- 7.5%
- Rent burdened (30%+)
- 41.5%
- Median household income
- $75,670
This page shows federally sourced data. A full editorial analysis with charts and investment commentary is in progress.
