
Lawrence, KS
The numbers that matter most
What an investor checks first when sizing up a new metro — affordability ratio, rent vs income, cap rate proxy, and where the market is moving. Each metric shown vs. state and national medians for instant context.
moderate
Price to income
4.10×
The single most-cited 'is this market still cheap' check. Below 3× and you're in an affordability tailwind.
- vs Kansas
- 3.02×
- vs U.S.
- 3.43×
Benchmark
ACS median home value ÷ median HHI
comfortable
Rent to income
20.6%
What share of a typical household's income goes to rent. Below 30% means tenants can absorb modest rent increases.
- vs Kansas
- 19.6%
- vs U.S.
- 23.3%-2.7
Benchmark
(HUD FMR 2BR × 12) ÷ median HHI
tight
Cap rate proxy
3.27%
Rough first-pass yield assuming a 35% expense ratio. Not an underwriting number — a 'is this even worth modeling' filter.
- vs Kansas
- 4.24%
- vs U.S.
- 4.35%
Benchmark
(FMR 2BR × 12 × 0.65) ÷ ACS median home value
shrinking
Net migration
-0.25%
Forward-looking demand signal. Positive net migration drives rent growth and absorbs new supply.
- vs Kansas
- -0.16%
- vs U.S.
- 0.03%
Benchmark
IRS net migration ÷ population
normal
Permit pipeline
3.12
permits per 1,000 residents
Forward-supply indicator. Above ~5 means the metro is building meaningfully relative to its size; below 2 means supply is tight.
- vs Kansas
- 3.22
- vs U.S.
- 3.52
Benchmark
Census BPS permits TTM ÷ population × 1,000
healthy
Unemployment
3.1%
Tighter unemployment means higher wages, more rental demand, lower vacancy.
- vs Kansas
- 3.4%-0.3
- vs U.S.
- 3.9%-0.8
Benchmark
BLS LAUS, latest month
Where prices are and where they've been
5-year price appreciation
+50.2%
homeValues.yearOverYear
+6.2%
Median home value
$281,600
The rent ladder
| Bedroom | Monthly | Annual | % of median HHI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 BR | $1,006 | $12,072 | 17.6% |
| 2 BR | $1,182 | $14,184 | 20.6% |
| 3 BR | $1,644 | $19,728 | 28.7% |
Labor market direction
Unemployment
3.1%
Median household income
$68,756
What's being built
Total TTM
372
+96.8% YoY
Single-family
218
2–4 unit
18
5+ unit
136
All 1 counties, ranked by population
| County | Population | Home value | Median HHI | Permits TTM | YoY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Douglas County | 119,094 | $281,600 | $68,756 | 372 | +96.8% |
Similar metros nationally
| Metro | Pop | Med HHI | P/I | Cap proxy | HPI 5y | Permits/1k | Unemp |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★Lawrence | 119,094 | $68,756 | 4.10× | 3.27% | +50.2% | 3.12 | 3.1% |
| Missoula, MT | 118,541 | $70,888 | — | — | +64.7% | — | 3.6% |
| Sheboygan, WI | 117,741 | $71,898 | — | — | +65.9% | — | 2.6% |
| San Angelo, TX | 122,229 | $66,037 | — | — | +46.1% | — | 2.9% |
| Twin Falls, ID | 115,066 | $66,473 | — | — | +58.1% | — | 3.3% |
| Owensboro, KY | 121,147 | $65,656 | — | — | +44.8% | — | 3.3% |
Where people are moving in from
Net migration
-300
-0.25% of population
| Origin county | Tax returns |
|---|---|
| Johnson County, KS | 580 |
| Shawnee County, KS | 335 |
| Jackson County, MO | 166 |
| Leavenworth County, KS | 123 |
| Jefferson County, KS | 120 |
| Franklin County, KS | 109 |
Who lives in Lawrence
- Median age
- 31
- Bachelor's+
- 52.0%
- Owner-occupancy
- 49.5%
- Vacancy rate
- 6.3%
- Rent burdened (30%+)
- 48.8%
- Median household income
- $68,756
This page shows federally sourced data. A full editorial analysis with charts and investment commentary is in progress.
