
Danville, IL
The numbers that matter most
What an investor checks first when sizing up a new metro — affordability ratio, rent vs income, cap rate proxy, and where the market is moving. Each metric shown vs. state and national medians for instant context.
affordable
Price to income
1.70×
The single most-cited 'is this market still cheap' check. Below 3× and you're in an affordability tailwind.
- vs Illinois
- 2.49×-0.78
- vs U.S.
- 3.43×-1.73
Benchmark
ACS median home value ÷ median HHI
comfortable
Rent to income
22.0%
What share of a typical household's income goes to rent. Below 30% means tenants can absorb modest rent increases.
- vs Illinois
- 20.6%
- vs U.S.
- 23.3%-1.3
Benchmark
(HUD FMR 2BR × 12) ÷ median HHI
solid
Cap rate proxy
8.40%
Rough first-pass yield assuming a 35% expense ratio. Not an underwriting number — a 'is this even worth modeling' filter.
- vs Illinois
- 5.30%+3.10
- vs U.S.
- 4.35%+4.06
Benchmark
(FMR 2BR × 12 × 0.65) ÷ ACS median home value
shrinking
Net migration
-0.31%
Forward-looking demand signal. Positive net migration drives rent growth and absorbs new supply.
- vs Illinois
- -0.07%
- vs U.S.
- 0.03%
Benchmark
IRS net migration ÷ population
tight
Permit pipeline
0.12
permits per 1,000 residents
Forward-supply indicator. Above ~5 means the metro is building meaningfully relative to its size; below 2 means supply is tight.
- vs Illinois
- 1.23
- vs U.S.
- 3.52
Benchmark
Census BPS permits TTM ÷ population × 1,000
Unemployment
—
Tighter unemployment means higher wages, more rental demand, lower vacancy.
- vs Illinois
- 5.3%
- vs U.S.
- 3.9%
Benchmark
BLS LAUS, latest month
Where prices are and where they've been
5-year price appreciation
—
homeValues.yearOverYear
—
Median home value
$92,900
Labor market direction
Unemployment
—
Median household income
$54,537
What's being built
Total TTM
9
+12.5% YoY
Single-family
9
2–4 unit
0
5+ unit
0
All 1 counties, ranked by population
| County | Population | Home value | Median HHI | Permits TTM | YoY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vermilion County | 74,113 | $92,900 | $54,537 | 9 | +12.5% |
Similar metros nationally
| Metro | Pop | Med HHI | P/I | Cap proxy | HPI 5y | Permits/1k | Unemp |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★Danville | 74,113 | $54,537 | 1.70× | 8.40% | — | 0.12 | —% |
| Hinesville, GA | 82,354 | $60,329 | — | — | +67.8% | — | 3.7% |
| Bloomsburg-Berwick, PA | 83,089 | $61,992 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kokomo, IN | 83,452 | $62,496 | — | — | +58.4% | — | 4.0% |
| Grants Pass, OR | 87,994 | $59,097 | — | — | +29.4% | — | 6.8% |
| Parkersburg-Vienna, WV | 89,474 | $56,029 | — | — | +40.2% | — | 4.4% |
Where people are moving in from
Net migration
-228
-0.31% of population
| Origin county | Tax returns |
|---|---|
| Champaign County, IL | 209 |
| Cook County, IL | 83 |
| Iroquois County, IL | 44 |
| Fountain County, IN | 44 |
| Marion County, IN | 24 |
Who lives in Danville
- Median age
- 41
- Bachelor's+
- 16.2%
- Owner-occupancy
- 69.2%
- Vacancy rate
- 12.2%
- Rent burdened (30%+)
- 39.1%
- Median household income
- $54,537
This page shows federally sourced data. A full editorial analysis with charts and investment commentary is in progress.
