
Warner Robins, GA
The numbers that matter most
What an investor checks first when sizing up a new metro — affordability ratio, rent vs income, cap rate proxy, and where the market is moving. Each metric shown vs. state and national medians for instant context.
affordable
Price to income
2.58×
The single most-cited 'is this market still cheap' check. Below 3× and you're in an affordability tailwind.
- vs Georgia
- 3.16×-0.58
- vs U.S.
- 3.43×-0.85
Benchmark
ACS median home value ÷ median HHI
comfortable
Rent to income
20.8%
What share of a typical household's income goes to rent. Below 30% means tenants can absorb modest rent increases.
- vs Georgia
- 24.5%-3.7
- vs U.S.
- 23.3%-2.5
Benchmark
(HUD FMR 2BR × 12) ÷ median HHI
deal-by-deal
Cap rate proxy
5.24%
Rough first-pass yield assuming a 35% expense ratio. Not an underwriting number — a 'is this even worth modeling' filter.
- vs Georgia
- 4.77%+0.47
- vs U.S.
- 4.35%+0.89
Benchmark
(FMR 2BR × 12 × 0.65) ÷ ACS median home value
steady
Net migration
+0.34%
Forward-looking demand signal. Positive net migration drives rent growth and absorbs new supply.
- vs Georgia
- 0.11%+0.23
- vs U.S.
- 0.03%+0.31
Benchmark
IRS net migration ÷ population
strong
Permit pipeline
6.59
permits per 1,000 residents
Forward-supply indicator. Above ~5 means the metro is building meaningfully relative to its size; below 2 means supply is tight.
- vs Georgia
- 6.01+0.58
- vs U.S.
- 3.52+3.07
Benchmark
Census BPS permits TTM ÷ population × 1,000
very tight labor market
Unemployment
2.8%
Tighter unemployment means higher wages, more rental demand, lower vacancy.
- vs Georgia
- 3.4%-0.6
- vs U.S.
- 3.9%-1.1
Benchmark
BLS LAUS, latest month
Where prices are and where they've been
5-year price appreciation
+60.2%
homeValues.yearOverYear
+4.0%
Median home value
$202,800
The rent ladder
| Bedroom | Monthly | Annual | % of median HHI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 BR | $1,221 | $14,652 | 18.6% |
| 2 BR | $1,362 | $16,344 | 20.8% |
| 3 BR | $1,821 | $21,852 | 27.8% |
Labor market direction
Unemployment
2.8%
Median household income
$78,702
What's being built
Total TTM
1,266
Single-family
1,151
2–4 unit
2
5+ unit
113
All 2 counties, ranked by population
| County | Population | Home value | Median HHI | Permits TTM | YoY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Houston County | 164,117 | $205,600 | $80,743 | 1,131 | |
| Peach County | 28,054 | $186,100 | $68,365 | 135 | +6.3% |
Similar metros nationally
| Metro | Pop | Med HHI | P/I | Cap proxy | HPI 5y | Permits/1k | Unemp |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★Warner Robins | 192,171 | $78,702 | 2.58× | 5.24% | +60.2% | 6.59 | 2.8% |
| Racine, WI | 197,068 | $75,331 | — | — | +58.0% | — | 3.6% |
| St. Cloud, MN | 199,922 | $75,670 | — | — | +42.3% | — | 4.9% |
| St. George, UT | 183,297 | $76,411 | — | — | +52.1% | — | 3.7% |
| Billings, MT | 185,147 | $74,599 | — | — | +48.7% | — | 3.4% |
| Kingston, NY | 182,153 | $81,804 | — | — | +67.4% | — | 3.5% |
Where people are moving in from
Net migration
+651
+0.34% of population
| Origin county | Tax returns |
|---|---|
| Bibb County, GA | 881 |
| Peach County, GA | 451 |
| Houston County, GA | 407 |
| Crawford County, GA | 116 |
| Gwinnett County, GA | 100 |
| Fulton County, GA | 94 |
Who lives in Warner Robins
- Median age
- 37
- Bachelor's+
- 31.1%
- Owner-occupancy
- 67.6%
- Vacancy rate
- 10.0%
- Rent burdened (30%+)
- 45.1%
- Median household income
- $78,702
This page shows federally sourced data. A full editorial analysis with charts and investment commentary is in progress.
