
Gainesville, GA
The numbers that matter most
What an investor checks first when sizing up a new metro — affordability ratio, rent vs income, cap rate proxy, and where the market is moving. Each metric shown vs. state and national medians for instant context.
moderate
Price to income
4.05×
The single most-cited 'is this market still cheap' check. Below 3× and you're in an affordability tailwind.
- vs Georgia
- 3.16×
- vs U.S.
- 3.43×
Benchmark
ACS median home value ÷ median HHI
comfortable
Rent to income
23.5%
What share of a typical household's income goes to rent. Below 30% means tenants can absorb modest rent increases.
- vs Georgia
- 24.5%-1.0
- vs U.S.
- 23.3%
Benchmark
(HUD FMR 2BR × 12) ÷ median HHI
tight
Cap rate proxy
3.77%
Rough first-pass yield assuming a 35% expense ratio. Not an underwriting number — a 'is this even worth modeling' filter.
- vs Georgia
- 4.77%
- vs U.S.
- 4.35%
Benchmark
(FMR 2BR × 12 × 0.65) ÷ ACS median home value
steady
Net migration
+0.65%
Forward-looking demand signal. Positive net migration drives rent growth and absorbs new supply.
- vs Georgia
- 0.11%+0.54
- vs U.S.
- 0.03%+0.62
Benchmark
IRS net migration ÷ population
strong
Permit pipeline
7.76
permits per 1,000 residents
Forward-supply indicator. Above ~5 means the metro is building meaningfully relative to its size; below 2 means supply is tight.
- vs Georgia
- 6.01+1.75
- vs U.S.
- 3.52+4.24
Benchmark
Census BPS permits TTM ÷ population × 1,000
very tight labor market
Unemployment
2.5%
Tighter unemployment means higher wages, more rental demand, lower vacancy.
- vs Georgia
- 3.4%-0.9
- vs U.S.
- 3.9%-1.4
Benchmark
BLS LAUS, latest month
Where prices are and where they've been
5-year price appreciation
+70.6%
homeValues.yearOverYear
+3.0%
Median home value
$313,600
The rent ladder
| Bedroom | Monthly | Annual | % of median HHI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 BR | $1,381 | $16,572 | 21.4% |
| 2 BR | $1,514 | $18,168 | 23.5% |
| 3 BR | $1,834 | $22,008 | 28.4% |
Labor market direction
Unemployment
2.5%
Median household income
$77,430
What's being built
Total TTM
1,590
+3.1% YoY
Single-family
1,415
2–4 unit
37
5+ unit
138
All 1 counties, ranked by population
| County | Population | Home value | Median HHI | Permits TTM | YoY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hall County | 204,953 | $313,600 | $77,430 | 1,590 | +3.1% |
Similar metros nationally
| Metro | Pop | Med HHI | P/I | Cap proxy | HPI 5y | Permits/1k | Unemp |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★Gainesville | 204,953 | $77,430 | 4.05× | 3.77% | +70.6% | 7.76 | 2.5% |
| St. Cloud, MN | 199,922 | $75,670 | — | — | +42.3% | — | 4.9% |
| Springfield, IL | 208,406 | $74,580 | — | — | +43.6% | — | 5.0% |
| Racine, WI | 197,068 | $75,331 | — | — | +58.0% | — | 3.6% |
| Warner Robins, GA | 192,171 | $78,702 | — | — | +60.2% | — | 2.8% |
| Hilton Head Island-Bluffton, SC | 218,515 | $81,015 | — | — | +71.6% | — | 4.5% |
Where people are moving in from
Net migration
+1,337
+0.65% of population
| Origin county | Tax returns |
|---|---|
| Gwinnett County, GA | 1,938 |
| Forsyth County, GA | 520 |
| Fulton County, GA | 382 |
| Jackson County, GA | 343 |
| DeKalb County, GA | 218 |
| Barrow County, GA | 193 |
Who lives in Gainesville
- Median age
- 38
- Bachelor's+
- 26.7%
- Owner-occupancy
- 68.9%
- Vacancy rate
- 10.1%
- Rent burdened (30%+)
- 47.7%
- Median household income
- $77,430
This page shows federally sourced data. A full editorial analysis with charts and investment commentary is in progress.
