
Tallahassee, FL
The numbers that matter most
What an investor checks first when sizing up a new metro — affordability ratio, rent vs income, cap rate proxy, and where the market is moving. Each metric shown vs. state and national medians for instant context.
moderate
Price to income
3.96×
The single most-cited 'is this market still cheap' check. Below 3× and you're in an affordability tailwind.
- vs Florida
- 4.23×-0.27
- vs U.S.
- 3.43×
Benchmark
ACS median home value ÷ median HHI
moderate
Rent to income
25.7%
What share of a typical household's income goes to rent. Below 30% means tenants can absorb modest rent increases.
- vs Florida
- 28.1%-2.4
- vs U.S.
- 23.3%
Benchmark
(HUD FMR 2BR × 12) ÷ median HHI
deal-by-deal
Cap rate proxy
4.22%
Rough first-pass yield assuming a 35% expense ratio. Not an underwriting number — a 'is this even worth modeling' filter.
- vs Florida
- 4.40%
- vs U.S.
- 4.35%
Benchmark
(FMR 2BR × 12 × 0.65) ÷ ACS median home value
shrinking
Net migration
-0.60%
Forward-looking demand signal. Positive net migration drives rent growth and absorbs new supply.
- vs Florida
- 0.83%
- vs U.S.
- 0.03%
Benchmark
IRS net migration ÷ population
strong
Permit pipeline
6.82
permits per 1,000 residents
Forward-supply indicator. Above ~5 means the metro is building meaningfully relative to its size; below 2 means supply is tight.
- vs Florida
- 8.03
- vs U.S.
- 3.52+3.30
Benchmark
Census BPS permits TTM ÷ population × 1,000
softening
Unemployment
4.9%
Tighter unemployment means higher wages, more rental demand, lower vacancy.
- vs Florida
- 4.9%=
- vs U.S.
- 3.9%
Benchmark
BLS LAUS, latest month
Where prices are and where they've been
5-year price appreciation
+47.3%
homeValues.yearOverYear
+0.5%
Median home value
$249,900
The rent ladder
| Bedroom | Monthly | Annual | % of median HHI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 BR | $1,204 | $14,448 | 22.9% |
| 2 BR | $1,352 | $16,224 | 25.7% |
| 3 BR | $1,674 | $20,088 | 31.8% |
Labor market direction
Unemployment
4.9%
Median household income
$63,078
What's being built
Total TTM
2,633
+32.0% YoY
Single-family
1,288
2–4 unit
30
5+ unit
1,315
All 4 counties, ranked by population
| County | Population | Home value | Median HHI | Permits TTM | YoY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leon County | 294,128 | $279,800 | $65,074 | 1,937 | +27.6% |
| Gadsden County | 43,746 | $154,700 | $46,047 | 111 | +11.0% |
| Wakulla County | 33,732 | $216,300 | $74,183 | 519 | +54.9% |
| Jefferson County | 14,458 | $198,800 | $56,984 | 66 | +17.9% |
Similar metros nationally
| Metro | Pop | Med HHI | P/I | Cap proxy | HPI 5y | Permits/1k | Unemp |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★Tallahassee | 386,064 | $63,078 | 3.96× | 4.22% | +47.3% | 6.82 | 4.9% |
| Montgomery, AL | 384,740 | $62,746 | — | — | +45.2% | — | 2.3% |
| Beaumont-Port Arthur, TX | 396,279 | $65,245 | — | — | +33.7% | — | 5.2% |
| Canton-Massillon, OH | 400,960 | $65,666 | — | — | +53.1% | — | 4.4% |
| Flint, MI | 405,280 | $60,673 | — | — | +49.0% | — | 5.8% |
| Hickory-Lenoir-Morganton, NC | 366,031 | $60,255 | — | — | +64.9% | — | 3.3% |
Where people are moving in from
Net migration
-2,317
-0.60% of population
| Origin county | Tax returns |
|---|---|
| Leon County, FL | 1,328 |
| Gadsden County, FL | 537 |
| Wakulla County, FL | 343 |
| Hillsborough County, FL | 309 |
| Broward County, FL | 309 |
| Miami-Dade County, FL | 304 |
Who lives in Tallahassee
- Median age
- 35
- Bachelor's+
- 40.9%
- Owner-occupancy
- 57.5%
- Vacancy rate
- 11.9%
- Rent burdened (30%+)
- 53.1%
- Median household income
- $63,078
This page shows federally sourced data. A full editorial analysis with charts and investment commentary is in progress.
