
Dover, DE
The numbers that matter most
What an investor checks first when sizing up a new metro — affordability ratio, rent vs income, cap rate proxy, and where the market is moving. Each metric shown vs. state and national medians for instant context.
moderate
Price to income
3.99×
The single most-cited 'is this market still cheap' check. Below 3× and you're in an affordability tailwind.
- vs Delaware
- 3.99×=
- vs U.S.
- 3.43×
Benchmark
ACS median home value ÷ median HHI
comfortable
Rent to income
24.2%
What share of a typical household's income goes to rent. Below 30% means tenants can absorb modest rent increases.
- vs Delaware
- 24.2%=
- vs U.S.
- 23.3%
Benchmark
(HUD FMR 2BR × 12) ÷ median HHI
tight
Cap rate proxy
3.95%
Rough first-pass yield assuming a 35% expense ratio. Not an underwriting number — a 'is this even worth modeling' filter.
- vs Delaware
- 3.95%=
- vs U.S.
- 4.35%
Benchmark
(FMR 2BR × 12 × 0.65) ÷ ACS median home value
steady
Net migration
+0.54%
Forward-looking demand signal. Positive net migration drives rent growth and absorbs new supply.
- vs Delaware
- 0.54%=
- vs U.S.
- 0.03%+0.52
Benchmark
IRS net migration ÷ population
strong
Permit pipeline
7.46
permits per 1,000 residents
Forward-supply indicator. Above ~5 means the metro is building meaningfully relative to its size; below 2 means supply is tight.
- vs Delaware
- 7.46=
- vs U.S.
- 3.52+3.94
Benchmark
Census BPS permits TTM ÷ population × 1,000
softening
Unemployment
5.6%
Tighter unemployment means higher wages, more rental demand, lower vacancy.
- vs Delaware
- 5.6%=
- vs U.S.
- 3.9%
Benchmark
BLS LAUS, latest month
Where prices are and where they've been
5-year price appreciation
+49.9%
homeValues.yearOverYear
+6.5%
Median home value
$290,600
The rent ladder
| Bedroom | Monthly | Annual | % of median HHI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 BR | $1,165 | $13,980 | 19.2% |
| 2 BR | $1,470 | $17,640 | 24.2% |
| 3 BR | $2,044 | $24,528 | 33.7% |
Labor market direction
Unemployment
5.6%
Median household income
$72,872
What's being built
Total TTM
1,361
+39.6% YoY
Single-family
1,045
2–4 unit
42
5+ unit
274
All 1 counties, ranked by population
| County | Population | Home value | Median HHI | Permits TTM | YoY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kent County | 182,400 | $290,600 | $72,872 | 1,361 | +39.6% |
Similar metros nationally
| Metro | Pop | Med HHI | P/I | Cap proxy | HPI 5y | Permits/1k | Unemp |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★Dover | 182,400 | $72,872 | 3.99× | 3.95% | +49.9% | 7.46 | 5.6% |
| Redding, CA | 181,852 | $71,931 | — | — | +27.0% | — | 5.2% |
| Yuba City, CA | 180,806 | $74,762 | — | — | +34.0% | — | 7.9% |
| Billings, MT | 185,147 | $74,599 | — | — | +48.7% | — | 3.4% |
| Iowa City, IA | 175,894 | $74,142 | — | — | +34.6% | — | 2.4% |
| St. George, UT | 183,297 | $76,411 | — | — | +52.1% | — | 3.7% |
Where people are moving in from
Net migration
+991
+0.54% of population
| Origin county | Tax returns |
|---|---|
| New Castle County, DE | 1,096 |
| Sussex County, DE | 770 |
| Philadelphia County, PA | 257 |
| Delaware County, PA | 107 |
| Kings County, NY | 92 |
| Caroline County, MD | 71 |
Who lives in Dover
- Median age
- 39
- Bachelor's+
- 26.7%
- Owner-occupancy
- 71.0%
- Vacancy rate
- 6.6%
- Rent burdened (30%+)
- 49.5%
- Median household income
- $72,872
This page shows federally sourced data. A full editorial analysis with charts and investment commentary is in progress.
