
Tuscaloosa, AL
The numbers that matter most
What an investor checks first when sizing up a new metro — affordability ratio, rent vs income, cap rate proxy, and where the market is moving. Each metric shown vs. state and national medians for instant context.
moderate
Price to income
3.62×
The single most-cited 'is this market still cheap' check. Below 3× and you're in an affordability tailwind.
- vs Alabama
- 3.03×
- vs U.S.
- 3.43×
Benchmark
ACS median home value ÷ median HHI
comfortable
Rent to income
23.4%
What share of a typical household's income goes to rent. Below 30% means tenants can absorb modest rent increases.
- vs Alabama
- 20.8%
- vs U.S.
- 23.3%
Benchmark
(HUD FMR 2BR × 12) ÷ median HHI
deal-by-deal
Cap rate proxy
4.20%
Rough first-pass yield assuming a 35% expense ratio. Not an underwriting number — a 'is this even worth modeling' filter.
- vs Alabama
- 4.37%
- vs U.S.
- 4.35%
Benchmark
(FMR 2BR × 12 × 0.65) ÷ ACS median home value
shrinking
Net migration
-0.08%
Forward-looking demand signal. Positive net migration drives rent growth and absorbs new supply.
- vs Alabama
- 0.04%
- vs U.S.
- 0.03%
Benchmark
IRS net migration ÷ population
normal
Permit pipeline
2.21
permits per 1,000 residents
Forward-supply indicator. Above ~5 means the metro is building meaningfully relative to its size; below 2 means supply is tight.
- vs Alabama
- 2.50
- vs U.S.
- 3.52
Benchmark
Census BPS permits TTM ÷ population × 1,000
very tight labor market
Unemployment
2.4%
Tighter unemployment means higher wages, more rental demand, lower vacancy.
- vs Alabama
- 2.3%
- vs U.S.
- 3.9%-1.5
Benchmark
BLS LAUS, latest month
Where prices are and where they've been
5-year price appreciation
+45.0%
homeValues.yearOverYear
+3.4%
Median home value
$217,100
The rent ladder
| Bedroom | Monthly | Annual | % of median HHI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 BR | $972 | $11,664 | 19.4% |
| 2 BR | $1,169 | $14,028 | 23.4% |
| 3 BR | $1,490 | $17,880 | 29.8% |
Labor market direction
Unemployment
2.4%
Median household income
$59,975
What's being built
Total TTM
604
+10.5% YoY
Single-family
480
2–4 unit
54
5+ unit
70
All 4 counties, ranked by population
| County | Population | Home value | Median HHI | Permits TTM | YoY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tuscaloosa County | 231,558 | $233,700 | $63,947 | 590 | +7.7% |
| Pickens County | 18,925 | $123,300 | $47,014 | 4 | +300.0% |
| Hale County | 14,742 | $126,300 | $41,325 | 9 | +80.0% |
| Greene County | 7,706 | $86,400 | $31,495 | 1 |
Similar metros nationally
| Metro | Pop | Med HHI | P/I | Cap proxy | HPI 5y | Permits/1k | Unemp |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★Tuscaloosa | 272,931 | $59,975 | 3.62× | 4.20% | +45.0% | 2.21 | 2.4% |
| College Station-Bryan, TX | 269,418 | $59,691 | — | — | +48.3% | — | 3.1% |
| Erie, PA | 270,495 | $61,476 | — | — | +61.3% | — | 4.2% |
| Laredo, TX | 267,282 | $62,506 | — | — | +48.0% | — | 4.1% |
| Charleston, WV | 257,927 | $58,089 | — | — | +36.3% | — | 4.4% |
| Waco, TX | 278,103 | $63,880 | — | — | +49.5% | — | 3.6% |
Where people are moving in from
Net migration
-211
-0.08% of population
| Origin county | Tax returns |
|---|---|
| Jefferson County, AL | 507 |
| Tuscaloosa County, AL | 416 |
| Hale County, AL | 187 |
| Pickens County, AL | 162 |
| Shelby County, AL | 159 |
| Bibb County, AL | 146 |
Who lives in Tuscaloosa
- Median age
- 34
- Bachelor's+
- 28.6%
- Owner-occupancy
- 64.1%
- Vacancy rate
- 16.7%
- Rent burdened (30%+)
- 46.9%
- Median household income
- $59,975
This page shows federally sourced data. A full editorial analysis with charts and investment commentary is in progress.
