
Mobile, AL
The numbers that matter most
What an investor checks first when sizing up a new metro — affordability ratio, rent vs income, cap rate proxy, and where the market is moving. Each metric shown vs. state and national medians for instant context.
moderate
Price to income
3.04×
The single most-cited 'is this market still cheap' check. Below 3× and you're in an affordability tailwind.
- vs Alabama
- 3.03×
- vs U.S.
- 3.43×-0.39
Benchmark
ACS median home value ÷ median HHI
comfortable
Rent to income
22.4%
What share of a typical household's income goes to rent. Below 30% means tenants can absorb modest rent increases.
- vs Alabama
- 20.8%
- vs U.S.
- 23.3%-0.9
Benchmark
(HUD FMR 2BR × 12) ÷ median HHI
deal-by-deal
Cap rate proxy
4.78%
Rough first-pass yield assuming a 35% expense ratio. Not an underwriting number — a 'is this even worth modeling' filter.
- vs Alabama
- 4.37%+0.42
- vs U.S.
- 4.35%+0.44
Benchmark
(FMR 2BR × 12 × 0.65) ÷ ACS median home value
shrinking
Net migration
-0.13%
Forward-looking demand signal. Positive net migration drives rent growth and absorbs new supply.
- vs Alabama
- 0.04%
- vs U.S.
- 0.03%
Benchmark
IRS net migration ÷ population
normal
Permit pipeline
2.47
permits per 1,000 residents
Forward-supply indicator. Above ~5 means the metro is building meaningfully relative to its size; below 2 means supply is tight.
- vs Alabama
- 2.50
- vs U.S.
- 3.52
Benchmark
Census BPS permits TTM ÷ population × 1,000
very tight labor market
Unemployment
2.8%
Tighter unemployment means higher wages, more rental demand, lower vacancy.
- vs Alabama
- 2.3%
- vs U.S.
- 3.9%-1.1
Benchmark
BLS LAUS, latest month
Where prices are and where they've been
5-year price appreciation
+51.1%
homeValues.yearOverYear
+3.0%
Median home value
$176,600
The rent ladder
| Bedroom | Monthly | Annual | % of median HHI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 BR | $919 | $11,028 | 19.0% |
| 2 BR | $1,083 | $12,996 | 22.4% |
| 3 BR | $1,414 | $16,968 | 29.2% |
Labor market direction
Unemployment
2.8%
Median household income
$58,119
What's being built
Total TTM
1,060
Single-family
990
2–4 unit
20
5+ unit
50
All 2 counties, ranked by population
| County | Population | Home value | Median HHI | Permits TTM | YoY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mobile County | 413,878 | $176,600 | $58,119 | 1,058 | |
| Washington County | 15,434 | $152,800 | $60,503 | 2 | — |
Similar metros nationally
| Metro | Pop | Med HHI | P/I | Cap proxy | HPI 5y | Permits/1k | Unemp |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★Mobile | 429,312 | $58,119 | 3.04× | 4.78% | +51.1% | 2.47 | 2.8% |
| Gulfport-Biloxi, MS | 416,839 | $61,266 | — | — | +48.1% | — | 3.0% |
| Flint, MI | 405,280 | $60,673 | — | — | +49.0% | — | 5.8% |
| Shreveport-Bossier City, LA | 391,957 | $54,635 | — | — | +23.9% | — | 3.9% |
| Springfield, MO | 477,056 | $61,488 | — | — | +60.3% | — | 2.9% |
| Lafayette, LA | 479,865 | $60,910 | — | — | +24.9% | — | 3.6% |
Where people are moving in from
Net migration
-540
-0.13% of population
| Origin county | Tax returns |
|---|---|
| Baldwin County, AL | 800 |
| Jackson County, MS | 232 |
| Jefferson County, AL | 162 |
| Escambia County, FL | 146 |
| Washington County, AL | 128 |
| Mobile County, AL | 113 |
Who lives in Mobile
- Median age
- 38
- Bachelor's+
- 25.2%
- Owner-occupancy
- 64.9%
- Vacancy rate
- 13.4%
- Rent burdened (30%+)
- 47.8%
- Median household income
- $58,119
This page shows federally sourced data. A full editorial analysis with charts and investment commentary is in progress.
