
Decatur, AL
The numbers that matter most
What an investor checks first when sizing up a new metro — affordability ratio, rent vs income, cap rate proxy, and where the market is moving. Each metric shown vs. state and national medians for instant context.
affordable
Price to income
2.89×
The single most-cited 'is this market still cheap' check. Below 3× and you're in an affordability tailwind.
- vs Alabama
- 3.03×-0.14
- vs U.S.
- 3.43×-0.54
Benchmark
ACS median home value ÷ median HHI
comfortable
Rent to income
18.0%
What share of a typical household's income goes to rent. Below 30% means tenants can absorb modest rent increases.
- vs Alabama
- 20.8%-2.8
- vs U.S.
- 23.3%-5.3
Benchmark
(HUD FMR 2BR × 12) ÷ median HHI
deal-by-deal
Cap rate proxy
4.05%
Rough first-pass yield assuming a 35% expense ratio. Not an underwriting number — a 'is this even worth modeling' filter.
- vs Alabama
- 4.37%
- vs U.S.
- 4.35%
Benchmark
(FMR 2BR × 12 × 0.65) ÷ ACS median home value
steady
Net migration
+0.04%
Forward-looking demand signal. Positive net migration drives rent growth and absorbs new supply.
- vs Alabama
- 0.04%
- vs U.S.
- 0.03%+0.01
Benchmark
IRS net migration ÷ population
tight
Permit pipeline
1.59
permits per 1,000 residents
Forward-supply indicator. Above ~5 means the metro is building meaningfully relative to its size; below 2 means supply is tight.
- vs Alabama
- 2.50
- vs U.S.
- 3.52
Benchmark
Census BPS permits TTM ÷ population × 1,000
very tight labor market
Unemployment
1.9%
Tighter unemployment means higher wages, more rental demand, lower vacancy.
- vs Alabama
- 2.3%-0.4
- vs U.S.
- 3.9%-2.0
Benchmark
BLS LAUS, latest month
Where prices are and where they've been
5-year price appreciation
+53.2%
homeValues.yearOverYear
-1.0%
Median home value
$185,000
The rent ladder
| Bedroom | Monthly | Annual | % of median HHI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 BR | $776 | $9,312 | 14.6% |
| 2 BR | $961 | $11,532 | 18.0% |
| 3 BR | $1,262 | $15,144 | 23.7% |
Labor market direction
Unemployment
1.9%
Median household income
$63,987
What's being built
Total TTM
249
+20.4% YoY
Single-family
249
2–4 unit
0
5+ unit
0
All 2 counties, ranked by population
| County | Population | Home value | Median HHI | Permits TTM | YoY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Morgan County | 123,102 | $193,000 | $64,858 | 246 | +20.0% |
| Lawrence County | 33,116 | $150,700 | $60,040 | 3 | +50.0% |
Similar metros nationally
| Metro | Pop | Med HHI | P/I | Cap proxy | HPI 5y | Permits/1k | Unemp |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★Decatur | 156,218 | $63,987 | 2.89× | 4.05% | +53.2% | 1.59 | 1.9% |
| Vineland-Bridgeton, NJ | 153,588 | $64,499 | — | — | +70.4% | — | 7.4% |
| Niles, MI | 153,938 | $63,152 | — | — | +57.4% | — | 4.8% |
| Bangor, ME | 152,640 | $63,248 | — | — | +66.7% | — | 3.4% |
| Jackson, MI | 160,637 | $65,004 | — | — | +49.9% | — | 4.9% |
| Bloomington, IN | 161,426 | $62,949 | — | — | +48.5% | — | 2.4% |
Where people are moving in from
Net migration
+61
+0.04% of population
| Origin county | Tax returns |
|---|---|
| Madison County, AL | 610 |
| Morgan County, AL | 305 |
| Limestone County, AL | 258 |
| Lawrence County, AL | 248 |
| Cullman County, AL | 205 |
| Lauderdale County, AL | 103 |
Who lives in Decatur
- Median age
- 41
- Bachelor's+
- 21.6%
- Owner-occupancy
- 74.4%
- Vacancy rate
- 10.1%
- Rent burdened (30%+)
- 35.2%
- Median household income
- $63,987
This page shows federally sourced data. A full editorial analysis with charts and investment commentary is in progress.
