
Auburn-Opelika, AL
The numbers that matter most
What an investor checks first when sizing up a new metro — affordability ratio, rent vs income, cap rate proxy, and where the market is moving. Each metric shown vs. state and national medians for instant context.
moderate
Price to income
3.81×
The single most-cited 'is this market still cheap' check. Below 3× and you're in an affordability tailwind.
- vs Alabama
- 3.03×
- vs U.S.
- 3.43×
Benchmark
ACS median home value ÷ median HHI
comfortable
Rent to income
24.0%
What share of a typical household's income goes to rent. Below 30% means tenants can absorb modest rent increases.
- vs Alabama
- 20.8%
- vs U.S.
- 23.3%
Benchmark
(HUD FMR 2BR × 12) ÷ median HHI
deal-by-deal
Cap rate proxy
4.10%
Rough first-pass yield assuming a 35% expense ratio. Not an underwriting number — a 'is this even worth modeling' filter.
- vs Alabama
- 4.37%
- vs U.S.
- 4.35%
Benchmark
(FMR 2BR × 12 × 0.65) ÷ ACS median home value
steady
Net migration
+0.27%
Forward-looking demand signal. Positive net migration drives rent growth and absorbs new supply.
- vs Alabama
- 0.04%+0.22
- vs U.S.
- 0.03%+0.24
Benchmark
IRS net migration ÷ population
strong
Permit pipeline
10.71
permits per 1,000 residents
Forward-supply indicator. Above ~5 means the metro is building meaningfully relative to its size; below 2 means supply is tight.
- vs Alabama
- 2.50+8.21
- vs U.S.
- 3.52+7.18
Benchmark
Census BPS permits TTM ÷ population × 1,000
very tight labor market
Unemployment
2.1%
Tighter unemployment means higher wages, more rental demand, lower vacancy.
- vs Alabama
- 2.3%-0.2
- vs U.S.
- 3.9%-1.8
Benchmark
BLS LAUS, latest month
Where prices are and where they've been
5-year price appreciation
+55.0%
homeValues.yearOverYear
+3.8%
Median home value
$224,600
The rent ladder
| Bedroom | Monthly | Annual | % of median HHI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 BR | $1,077 | $12,924 | 21.9% |
| 2 BR | $1,181 | $14,172 | 24.0% |
| 3 BR | $1,494 | $17,928 | 30.4% |
Labor market direction
Unemployment
2.1%
Median household income
$58,991
What's being built
Total TTM
1,875
+10.0% YoY
Single-family
1,696
2–4 unit
24
5+ unit
155
All 2 counties, ranked by population
| County | Population | Home value | Median HHI | Permits TTM | YoY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lee County | 175,126 | $238,700 | $61,123 | 1,865 | +9.5% |
| Macon County | 19,198 | $95,700 | $45,951 | 10 | +100.0% |
Similar metros nationally
| Metro | Pop | Med HHI | P/I | Cap proxy | HPI 5y | Permits/1k | Unemp |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★Auburn | 175,126 | $58,991 | 3.81× | 4.10% | +55.0% | 10.71 | 2.1% |
| Hattiesburg, MS | 172,176 | $59,008 | — | — | +50.6% | — | 2.8% |
| Greenville, NC | 171,196 | $58,851 | — | — | +54.6% | — | 3.7% |
| Jackson, TN | 180,446 | $58,740 | — | — | +73.0% | — | 3.7% |
| Joplin, MO | 181,807 | $60,146 | — | — | +61.8% | — | 3.1% |
| El Centro, CA | 179,578 | $56,393 | — | — | +60.2% | — | 18.6% |
Where people are moving in from
Net migration
+467
+0.27% of population
| Origin county | Tax returns |
|---|---|
| Russell County, AL | 576 |
| Muscogee County, GA | 408 |
| Chambers County, AL | 296 |
| Montgomery County, AL | 263 |
| Tallapoosa County, AL | 216 |
| Jefferson County, AL | 151 |
Who lives in Auburn
- Median age
- 34
- Bachelor's+
- 39.4%
- Owner-occupancy
- 65.6%
- Vacancy rate
- 13.9%
- Rent burdened (30%+)
- 50.0%
- Median household income
- $58,991
This page shows federally sourced data. A full editorial analysis with charts and investment commentary is in progress.
